This week’s NFL parlay features two moneyline picks and an alternate spread.
The pregame narrative: Houston hosts the surging Miami Dolphins, and I like the home side coming off a late-week bye. I am also backing the Atlanta Falcons to snap their losing streak against an inferior foe and for the Indianapolis Colts to cover an alt spread in a high-stakes matchup.
Check out my NFL Week 15 parlay picks for Sunday’s action.
NFL Week 15 parlay picks
Go to full NFL Week 15 betting markets.
Parlay: Texans moneyline + Colts +7.5 + Falcons moneyline (+265)
Texans moneyline (-150): Coming off a much-needed bye week, I believe this is a great spot to back the Texans at home.
Houston hasn’t seen much downtime since starting training camp back in July and has been hit hard by injuries, but the long rest should benefit the Texans well in this matchup.
Miami’s offence has clicked since Tua Tagovailoa’s return from injury but has feasted on poor defences and now faces its toughest test of the season.
Houston’s ferocious pass rush and above-average secondary have given really good quarterbacks a hard time:
- Limited Josh Allen to a season-worst 30 percent completion rate on 131 passing yards.
- Held Jared Goff to a season-worst 50 percent completion rate and a career-high five interceptions.
Houston has won six of its last eight games at home. Meanwhile, Miami has lost three of its last four away games.
Quarterback C.J. Stroud and receiver Nico Collins should thrive against a Dolphins’ secondary that just allowed an aging Aaron Rodgers to throw for 339 passing yards.
Other parlay picks
Colts +7.5 (-209): The Broncos have far exceeded expectations this year, but I’ll sell high on them against an improving Colts squad.
Quarterback Anthony Richardson has performed better since returning from a benching earlier in the season and will get some reinforcements for this game.
Breakout receiver Josh Downs returns from injury. His imposing presence will divert the attention away from Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce downfield.
The Broncos’ elite defence blitzes at a 31.3 percent rate — tied for fourth-most — but Richardson has the mobility to avert pressure and scramble outside the pocket.
Indianapolis is 4-1-0 ATS as a road underdog this season.
The Colts are fighting for a playoff spot and I expect they keep this game close.
Falcons moneyline (-209): The Falcons are winless in their last four games but face the perfect opponent to get back on track.
A recent 42-21 loss to the Vikings looks bad on paper. However, the Falcons racked up 496 total yards, including 158 rushing yards off the league’s best run-stopping unit.
Defensively, the front seven stepped up by pressuring Sam Darnold for four sacks.
On the other side, the Raiders (2-11) have lost nine straight games. They also allow a league-worst 27.8 points per game.
Head coach Antonio Pierce is likely rolling with Desmond Ridder at quarterback, who was benched by the Falcons last season.
The former third-round pick has a woeful 31.0 QB rating in limited action this season.
This is a must-win game for the Falcons who sit a game back of the vulnerable New Orleans Saints in the NFC South division.
I expect a big game from Kirk Cousins, who is under the microscope after back-to-back subpar performances.
NFL picks made at 1:45 p.m. on 12/11/24.
