NFL Week 11 betting guide: Player prop recommendations, parlay picks and more for every game

This Sunday’s NFL slate is loaded with must-see matchups.

Week 11 at a glance: The NFC West lead is up for grabs when the Los Angeles Rams host the Seattle Seahawks. Before that, two MVP candidates look to rebound when the Buffalo Bills take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. And in primetime, the reigning champion Philadelphia Eagles host the Detroit Lions.

Check out our NFL Week 11 betting guide for staff picks and predictions on the slate.

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NFL Week 11 betting guide: predictions

ATS picks: Get ATS predictions from five different staff writers on every game of the week.

TD picks: A pair of running backs operating in time shares with plus-money price tags headline these TD picks.

NFL prop bets: Jordan Horrobin is targeting two running backs in this week’s prop picks … and is fading Patrick Mahomes.

NFL Week 11 best bets: Josh Allen and the Bills play their best ball at home, making them a strong ATS pick. Read why, and find three prop bets featuring Lamar Jackson, Bijan Robinson and Jaylen Waddle.

Upset picks: Has Caleb Williams found it? Avery Perri thinks so and is backing the Chicago Bears as one of two road divisional underdogs this week.

Lions vs. Eagles SNF picks: Philadelphia is on a three-game win streak and now hosts a banged-up Detroit squad. This could be a preview of the NFC championship game, or at least a playoff matchup of some kind.

Lions vs. Eagles SGP: One moneyline pick, one over/under wager, and one player prop on Jahmyr Gibbs make up this juicy +475 wager.

Cowboys vs. Raiders SGP: Perri is backing Ashton Jeanty to run wild against the Cowboys’ defence. He also has bet a not-so-common kicker prop.

NFL Week 11 betting notes

The Seahawks and Rams are both 7-2 against the spread this year, pitting the league’s best two ATS teams against each other. Seattle is 4-0 ATS on the road, winning by an average of 12.3 points.

Matthew Stafford (+275) is tied atop the MVP odds board after a heroic three-week stretch. The QB has thrown for 13 touchdowns with no interceptions and has a 25-to-2 TD:INT ratio this season.

Mahomes is 6-1 in Denver and 11-1 against AFC West teams coming off extended rest. The Broncos are on a seven-game winning streak and own the league’s No. 3 scoring defence.

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The Green Bay Packers are touchdown favourites this week … but are 0-5 ATS this year when favoured by four-plus points. The Packers are averaging just 10.0 PPG during their two-game losing streak.

Williams is heating up, but faces a new task: Beating divisional opponents. The Bears’ signal caller is 1-7 SU in eight starts against the NFC North, losing to the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1.

Biggest spreads: Jets vs. Patriots (-13); Ravens (-7.5) vs. Browns; Packers (-7) vs. Giants

Highest totals: Cowboys vs. Raiders (50); Bengals vs. Steelers (49); Seahawks vs. Rams (48.5)