Coming off a three-touchdown game, Davante Adams is one of my NFL Week 9 TD picks.
The pregame narrative: Adams has been exceptionally active near the goal line this season and is worth a look in the anytime TD market on Sunday. Two other wideouts, Stefon Diggs and Jordan Addison, are plus-money scoring threats.
Check out my top NFL Week 9 TD picks for Sunday, Nov. 2.
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NFL Week 9 TD picks
Best bet: Addison to score (+255)
I don’t love the Minnesota Vikings’ chances of hanging with the Detroit Lions on Sunday, but I do think there’s ample value on this play based on Addison’s recent usage.
After serving a three-game suspension to open the season, Addison jumped right into a prominent role in the Vikings’ offence.
- In four games, Addison has 21 catches for 309 yards and two TDs.
- His 14.2% target share ranks in the 67th percentile, per Rotowire, while his 94.3 air yards per game ranks in the 91st percentile.
- Despite missing three of Minnesota’s seven games, Addison is tied for the team lead in red zone targets (seven).
-> Bet on Jordan Addison’s receiving props vs. the Lions
Last week, Addison scored the Vikings’ lone touchdown (a four-yard reception) in a blowout loss. A garbage time score could certainly be in play this Sunday in Detroit.
The Lions are accustomed to playing from ahead and forcing opponents to throw at a high volume.
They’ve faced the fourth-fewest rush attempts in the NFL this season and allowed the fifth-most passing TDs.
Key stat: Since Week 5, Addison has seven of the Vikings’ 18 red zone targets. He’s also averaging a healthy 7.5 targets/game overall.
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Best NFL touchdown bets
Adams to score (-122): Adams scored a hat trick of touchdowns last time out while Puka Nacua was sidelined due to an injury.
But even with Nacua re-entering the fold this week, Adams is a worthwhile pick to score at this price.
No receiver is more involved near the end zone than Adams. The future Hall of Famer leads the NFL in targets inside the 10-yard line (11), per Fantasy Pros.
Nobody else has more than seven.
Adams has at least one target inside the 10-yard line in five of seven games, and he’s 4-3 vs. his anytime TD prop.
Nacua will take some heat off Adams defensively, and I expect Matthew Stafford to continue to look Adams’ way.
Diggs to score (+135): Tua Tagovailoa has been awful this year, but he looked like Dan Marino last week, carving up the Atlanta Falcons’ defence (four TDs on 20-of-26 passing).
Now it’s Drake Maye’s turn to do damage against the Falcons, and I expect Diggs to be a beneficiary.
- Maye has 15 passing TDs in eight games — including eight TDs in his past three.
- Diggs was one of three Patriots to score last week at home vs. Cleveland.
Last week’s TD was the first of the season for Diggs, who’s starting to see consistent looks in the most important area of the field.
Diggs has been targeted in the red zone in five straight games, and he had three targets inside the 10-yard line last week alone.
NFL TD picks made at 11:45 a.m. ET on 10/31/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.