A pair of All-Pro wide receivers is the focus of my Week 3 touchdown picks.
The pregame narrative: Ja’Marr Chase lost his starting quarterback last Sunday, but it doesn’t seem like it’ll have a negative effect on his production. After that, Keenan Allen has value to score in his third straight game for the Los Angeles Chargers.
Check out my top Week 3 NFL TD picks.
NFL TD picks: Week 3
Best bet: Chase anytime TD (+120)
The NFL’s best receiver demands targets no matter who’s throwing him the ball.
Check out his splits with Joe Burrow and Jake Browning in Week 2:
- With Burrow: four receptions (26.4% target share)
- With Browning: 10 receptions (34.4% target share)
Browning isn’t the arm talent Burrow is, and that leads to a lot of short and medium throws, which is the area Chase excels in.
Chase is also a dangerous threat in the red zone. He’s been targeting three times inside 15 yards this season and caught all three passes.
He has just one TD so far, but with that volume, he should easily get that number up closer to the 17 TD passes he caught in 2024.
Only three other players have been targeted three or more times inside 15 yards this season.
That gives me hope for Chase even without Burrow, and this line reflects an injured QB. But Browning is arguably better for the star wideout’s production.
Key stat: Chase led the NFL with 33 red zone targets last season and was one of two players to have 25 or more targets inside 20 yards.
Best NFL touchdown bets
Allen anytime TD (+250): Allen, unsurprisingly, has fit like a glove rejoining the Chargers’ offence.
Through two games, Allen has 12 receptions for 129 yards and two touchdowns.
More importantly, he’s been targeted by Justin Herbert twice in the red zone and has caught both passes for scores.
What is surprising is that Allen leads the Chargers in targets this season (17) over Ladd McConkey (14), who was thought to be the clear-cut No. 1 option in L.A.
I still think McConkey will finish the season with the better stats, but Allen will play a significant role in this offence, especially near the end zone.
And because of that, I believe there is good value on Allen at +230 when teammates like McConkey (+160) and Quentin Johnston (+225) have shorter odds to score.
The Denver Broncos have a good defence, but just gave up 29 points to Daniel Jones and the Indianapolis Colts on the road.
NFL TD picks made at 3:19 p.m. ET on 09/18/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.