Sunday’s top NBA prop prediction is a fade on Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker’s point total.
Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Phoenix is a 5.5-point home underdog against Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs, an elite defensive squad. Elsewhere, I expect Tyrese Maxey and Mikal Bridges to keep stuffing the stat sheet.
Check out my favourite NBA player prop predictions for Nov. 2.
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NBA prop predictions
Best bet: Booker under 27.5 points (-107)
Booker has been on fire to start the season.
The guard is averaging 30.3 points on 49.2% shooting and is 5-1 against this line. With Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal gone, his volume is at a near-career high.
So, why fade him?
Booker has beaten up on a few bad teams (Kings, Jazz twice) and has landed between 31-32 points three times. He’s not smashing this total, and now faces arguably the best defensive team in basketball.
-> Fade Devin Booker at NorthStar Bets
San Antonio, led by Wembanyama, is second in defensive rating (104.2) and plays with the fourth-slowest pace, per NBA.com.
That means Booker will have fewer opportunities to score than usual, and his looks will be more challenging.
I think this is a good spot for some regression.
Key stat: The Spurs are giving up the fewest PPG (17.37) to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros.
More prop picks
Bridges over 8.5 rebounds and assists (+100): Bridges had a mediocre first season with the New York Knicks, but is looking like a bona fide stud right now:
- 19.0 PPG
- 6.2 RPG
- 4.8 APG
The forward is 4-1 against this line, and just logged 10 R/A against the Chicago Bulls on Friday. That’s also the team New York is hosting tonight.
Bridges is leading New York with 36.8 minutes a night. He should turn those opportunities into another big night.
Maxey 4+ threes (+100): Maxey has been rolling, and is once again without Joel Embiid, who has played sparingly through the first few weeks of the season.
The Sixers guard tops the league in PPG (35.2) and is making 4.2 threes a night on 9.4 attempts (46.8%).
-> Bet on Maxey to clear his 3-point total
I’m happy to back him at this number if he’s going to shoot with that type of volume.
Maxey and Co. take on the Brooklyn Nets, who have allowed the seventh-most 3s per game to opposing point guards.
NBA player prop predictions made at 9:20 a.m. ET on 11/02/25.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.