Josh Giddey is back and Steph Curry is ready to cook, and both players have my attention for Saturday’s prop bets.
Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Curry has had some quiet offensive showings recently, but I’m calling on him to step up tonight in an important matchup (well, as important as a January matchup can be). As for Giddey, his strong return on Thursday makes tonight’s points/assists prop look like a breeze.
Check out these NBA prop picks for Jan. 24, featuring a prediction on Anthony Black.
-> Join NorthStar Bets & start betting on the NBA!
NBA prop picks Jan. 24
Best bet: Curry over 28.5 points (-113)
It’s still too early to be earnestly tracking the NBA standings, but Saturday’s matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors is a big one nonetheless.
The Warriors are on dangerous ground after Jimmy Butler went down with a season-ending knee injury, falling to eighth in the Western Conference. Meanwhile, thanks to four straight losses, the Timberwolves have sunk into play-in territory as the current No. 7 seed.
We’re not even at the trade deadline yet, so again, it’s too early to make a big deal out of this.
-> Bet on tonight’s NBA slate now!
But I think both squads will throw their best punch on Saturday, and that should include Curry taking on a huge role in the Warriors’ offence.
- Curry has gone under this points prop in five of his past six games. But in each of the unders, Golden State either won or lost by 13+ points.
- In Golden State’s lone matchup vs. Minnesota earlier this season, a seven-point loss for the Warriors, Curry did his part with 39 points on 14-of-28 shooting.
- The Warriors are +6.5 road underdogs tonight, so the game should be reasonably close.
Even at 37, Curry has sky-high scoring potential on a nightly basis because of his 3-point shot volume. He’s shooting 39.2% from deep, leading the NBA in makes (4.6) and attempts (11.6).
The Timberwolves don’t typically give up much on the perimeter, allowing the fourth-fewest attempted 3s per game.
But Curry is going to get his shots up, as his history against the T-wolves indicates.
Key stat: Curry has 30+ points and 11+ attempted 3s in each of his past four full games against the Timberwolves (excluding his injury-shortened playoff matchup last year, when he had 13 points in 13 minutes).
Best NBA picks
Black over 15.5 points (+100): Though Black can be a streaky shooter, it feels like a no-brainer to bet the over on this number given his elevated opportunity these days.
- Black joined the Orlando Magic’s starting lineup for good on Dec. 9 and has averaged 18.7 points in 19 games since.
- The third-year point guard is 13-6 vs. this prop in that span.
-> At NorthStar Bets: Wager on NBA props, futures & more
Black has attempted 10+ shots in every game since Dec. 9, with a typical volume of 13-16 (and as high as 24). He’s not shy about shooting.
Tonight, he’ll face a Cleveland Cavaliers team that is nothing special on defence (14th in defensive rating). Against all but the most daunting defensive matchups, I’m backing him on this line.
NBA player prop predictions
Giddey 25+ points/assists (+114): Giddey returned from an 11-game absence on Thursday and, despite coming off the bench, provided an immediate jolt to the Bulls’ lineup.
The fifth-year player had 21 points and five assists in 26 minutes, shooting at a 7-for-13 clip.
He might not be back to his typical low-30s minute total tonight, but he should continue moving in that direction. And the closer he is to that workload, the more I’ll be bullish on this number.
-> See tonight’s NBA moneyline odds, spreads & game totals
Giddey is averaging career-high marks this season in points (19.3) and assists (8.9). That equates to 28.2 PA. He is 19-12 vs. this prop.
Given how well his return to action went, Giddey doesn’t seem far from being at full strength. There’s tons of value in this line.
NBA prop picks made at 10:20 a.m. ET on Jan. 24, 2026.
-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.