Canadian guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker headlines Tuesday’s NBA prop bets.
Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Walker has been on a roll lately and has a plus matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers. Elsewhere, look for Giannis Antetokounmpo to rack up rebounds against the shorthanded Minnesota Timberwolves.
Check out my top NBA prop picks for Jan. 13, featuring a pick on Victor Wembanyama.
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NBA prop picks Jan. 13
Best bet: Alexander-Walker over 21.5 points (-106)
Alexander-Walker is having a career year and has sneaky value to claim Most Improved Player honours at +3,000.
- 2024-25 (82 games, 10 starts): 9.4 PPG, 43.8 FG%, 38.1 3PT%
- 2025-26 (39 games, 32 starts): 20.6 PPG, 44.5 FG%, 37.2 3PT%
The Canadian is capitalizing on his starting opportunities with the Atlanta Hawks after riding the bench for three years in Minnesota. I think he has a chance to level up again following Trae Young’s departure.
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Alexander-Walker is averaging 21.5 PPG since Dec. 27 (Young’s last game with the Hawks) while taking 18.3 field goals and 9.8 threes per game.
That type of volume puts him in a great position to clear this number on a nightly basis.
Los Angeles has lost three straight and is playing on a back-to-back after yesterday’s contest against the Sacramento Kings.
The Lakers have the fourth-worst 3-point defence in the NBA (37.4%). That’s an area Alexander-Walker should exploit, given his shot volume from outside.
Backing the guard to go over 2.5 threes carries unplayable -157 juice, so I’ll instead opt for him to clear a modest point total.
Key stat: Alexander-Walker has cleared this mark in seven of his last eight road games.
Best NBA picks
Antetokounmpo over 10.5 rebounds (-118): Anthony Edwards (foot) and Rudy Gobert (suspension) are out for Minnesota tonight, leaving Giannis with a mouth-watering matchup.
Gobert ranks third in rebounds per game (11.4) and is a physically imposing presence at 7-foot-1, 258 pounds. Without him, Minnesota doesn’t have a single player above 6-foot-9 in its rotation.
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Giannis is having his worst rebounding year in a while, logging 9.8 boards per game. That’s around two fewer than his 11.9 mark last season.
But the Greek Freak can still put up huge rebounding totals from time to time and has succeeded in this matchup recently (with Gobert often playing).
He has cleared this total in five of his last six games vs. the T-wolves while averaging 13.2 rebounds per game.
NBA player prop predictions
Wembanyama 2+ threes (-130): The Oklahoma City Thunder have lost seven games this year, and three were to the San Antonio Spurs.
Wembanyama was on a minutes restriction in each of those contests and shot a combined 4-for-5 from deep. We’re going to need more 3-point volume tonight to clear this line, which I think is doable.
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He is averaging 5.5 three-point attempts in January, up from 3.0 in December.
OKC, surprisingly, has an awful 3-point defence. It is allowing the third-most 3s per game (14.6) at the third-highest clip (37.5%).
NBA prop picks made at 9:45 a.m. ET on Jan. 12, 2026.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.