On the eve of the NBA all-star break, there are three games on the schedule. And we’ve got a prop bet from each one.
Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Kevin Porter Jr. has been doing it all on offence for the Milwaukee Bucks lately, and I expect that to continue on Thursday night. Elsewhere, Toumani Camara has compelling odds to hit three 3-pointers against the woeful Utah Jazz.
Check out my top NBA prop picks for Feb. 12, featuring a prediction on Marcus Smart.
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NBA prop picks Feb. 12
Best bet: Camara over 2.5 threes (+115)
There’s no better matchup for 3-point shooters than the Jazz.
Combining an A+ matchup with Camara’s scorching production beyond the arc makes this an enticing plus-money play.
Camara is shooting 45.6% from deep over his past 13 games, canning 2.8 threes on 6.1 attempts in that span.
Two games ago, the power forward went 8-for-10 from deep. He shot 2-for-3 last time out.
You never know just how many 3s Camara will take, but the Jazz are a team he should want to fire at will against. On a per-game basis, Utah allows the most opponent 3-point attempts (41.7) and makes (15.5) in the league.
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Camara is 1-1 vs. this prop when facing Utah this season, but he put up eight attempted 3s in both of those games. If we see that kind of volume again, he’ll have a great shot at this.
Key stat: In his past 11 games, Camara is 7-4 vs. this prop.
Best NBA picks
Smart over 11.5 points (-110): Smart cashed this bet from the 3-point line alone on Monday, draining 4-of-7 threes as part of a 19-point effort.
The 12th-year guard has been in the Los Angeles Lakers’ starting lineup most of the season, but he typically plays a bit role.
L.A. needs more from Smart these days, though, with Luka Doncic out and Austin Reaves (calf) only a handful of games removed from a lengthy absence.
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In six games this season without Doncic, Smart has been superb:
- 15.5 PPG
- 11.7 FGA
- 45.2 3PT%
I have half a mind to back Smart to score 15+ points at +215. He’s hit that in three straight without Doncic.
All of that is to say, I like Smart to make good on his offensive opportunities tonight.
NBA player prop predictions
Porter 25+ points/assists (-137): With Giannis Antetokounmpo on the shelf, Porter will likely be the Bucks’ frontman for the foreseeable future.
And after spending a couple of weeks on the sidelines with his own injury, Porter has shown in recent games that he’s capable of handling that role.
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Check out what he’s been up to in four games since his return:
- vs. Pelicans: 18 PTS, 9 AST
- vs. Pacers: 23 PTS, 8 AST
- at Magic: 28 PTS, 7 AST
- at Magic: 18 PTS, 11 AST
That’s right, he’s breezed past this number in four straight. Tonight’s matchup against the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder is a tough one, but this is simply a volume play.
In the Bucks’ past four games, Porter has 24 more points and 24 more assists than any of his teammates.
NBA prop picks made at 12:05 p.m. ET on Feb. 12, 2026.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.