Two dynamic playmakers, Josh Giddey and Nikola Jokic, are featured in Sunday’s top NBA prop predictions.
Today’s NBA props narrative: Giddey should hoover up rebounds against an undersized Golden State Warriors team still missing Steph Curry. Nikola Jokic, meanwhile, has an opportunity to cook from deep against the Charlotte Hornets.
Check out my plays in the best NBA prop picks for Dec. 7, featuring a best bet on Oklahoma City guard Ajay Mitchell.
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NBA prop picks Dec. 7
Best bet: Mitchell over 18.5 points (-108)
Mitchell typically comes off of OKC’s bench in relief of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
But the reigning MVP is sidelined tonight with an elbow injury, meaning Mitchell will be thrust into a starting role. We’ve already seen him make six starts this year, and the results are encouraging.
- 16.8 PPG
- 51.4 FG%
- 50.0 3PT%
He’s gone 2-4 against this line as a starter, but landed on 17 points once and 18 points once.
Isaiah Hartenstein, Lu Dort, Alex Caruso and Isaiah Joe are also out in addition to SGA. That’s 71.6 combined PPG lost, so I’m confident the sharp-shooting Mitchell can perform above his baseline.
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And I haven’t even mentioned OKC’s opponent yet.
The Utah Jazz are among the league’s worst defensive teams. They sit 29th in defensive rating (120.4) and allow the eighth-most PPG to opposing point guards (26.94), per Fantasy Pros.
Mitchell should be in for a big night.
Key stat: Mitchell has scored 17+ points in six of nine games when playing over 30 minutes.
Best NBA picks
Giddey over 9.5 rebounds (-136): Giddey is having a monster season, averaging career highs in all three major categories, and ranking 10th in rebounding (9.9/game).
The lanky point guard has double-digit boards in seven of his last 11 games and has a great opportunity to do it again.
Golden State lacks a true big man with sophomore centre Quinten Post being the only rotational player above 6-foot-9 — and he plays just 17 minutes a night.
-> Bet on Giddey against the Warriors!
On top of that, Jimmy Butler and Draymond Green seem unlikely to play after missing yesterday’s contest with injuries.
The Warriors are a bottom-six team in rebounding rate, and I expect Giddy to feast.
NBA player prop predictions
Jokic over 1.5 threes (-150): I think it’s worth backing Jokic at this number against the Hornets.
Charlotte has the worst 3-point defence in the NBA (39.3%) and allows the most 3s per game to opposing centres (1.92).
Jokic is attempting more 3s than ever (4.9/game), and cashing at a 40.7% clip. That doesn’t seem fair given the rest of his skill set, but there’s a reason the Serbian is a three-time MVP winner.
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Jokic is 8-4 against this line in his last 12 games with at least one triple in each of those contests. If you’re looking for a juicer payout, backing him to clear 2.5 threes at +210 is certainly interesting.
NBA prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on Dec. 7, 2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.