Victor Wembanyama headlines Sunday’s NBA prop bets.
Today’s NBA props narrative: Wembanyama has been eased in since returning from injury, and is still on a minutes restriction. But he’s capable of doing big damage in small amounts of time, and has a great matchup against the Washington Wizards.
Check out my top NBA prop picks for Dec. 21, featuring Immanuel Quickley and Kevin Durant.
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NBA prop picks Dec. 21
Best bet: Wembanyama over 19.5 points (-118)
San Antonio is a 15.5-point favourite in this matchup, so the biggest worry is that Wembanyama will play fewer than 15 minutes in a blowout win.
That’s pretty much what happened when these teams met on Thursday, in a game the Spurs won by 25:
- 17 minutes
- 15 points
- 11 field-goal attempts
Wemby fell shy of this number, but has had at least 18 points in each of his other three games since returning from injury. That includes a 26-point outing on Friday night in 21 minutes.
-> See full props for Spurs vs. Wizards!
I could see a world where Wembanyama scores 20 points in just 15 minutes of play against Washington.
The Wizards have the worst defensive rating in the NBA and rank 25th in opposing true shooting percentage.
And it’s not like Wembanyama hasn’t torched them before.
Key stat: Before Thursday, Wembanyama averaged 31.8 PPG in four games against Washington and went 4-0 against this line.
Best NBA picks
Quickley over 15.5 points (-110): The Toronto Raptors are on the second leg of a back-to-back after falling to the Boston Celtics last night.
That shapes up well for Quickley, who has been an assassin on no rest this year (five games played):
- 19.6 PPG
- 47.9 FG%
- 40.0 3PT%
All three of those marks are a notable tick up from his season-long numbers.
Quickley was awful yesterday, going 1-for-12 from the floor against Boston, but I like his chances of bouncing back against the Brooklyn Nets.
The point guard has scored 20-plus points in four of his five meetings against Brooklyn since joining Toronto.
And the Nets have the fourth-worst 3-point defence in the NBA, meaning Quickley can rack up points hastily.
-> Full betting markets for Sunday’s NBA slate
NBA player prop predictions
Durant 25+ points (-125): Durant is still one of the purest bucket-getters in the game.
He’s averaging 25.4 PPG this year, which is his lowest mark since 2016-17, but is shooting a clinical 51.5% from the field and 44.3% from deep.
He’s been even better from 3-point land in December, cashing 2.5 threes per game at a 55.6% clip.
-> Bet on Durant to reach the 25-point milestone!
I expect Durant to lean on his mid-range game tonight, though.
His opponent, the Sacramento Kings, have the second-worst mid-range defence in the NBA, letting opponents shoot 50.3% from that area of the court, per Cleaning the Glass.
KD attempts 61% of his shots from the mid-range, which ranks in the 100th percentile among all forwards.
NBA prop picks made at 10 a.m. ET on Dec. 21, 2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.