Wednesday is a monster slate in the NBA with all 30 teams in action.
The pregame narrative: There are several prop bets I like, none more so than Bam Adebayo to clear his points line. I also have plays on fellow big men Nikola Jokic and Jarrett Allen, as well as guard Coby White.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 12.
Best NBA prop bets
Best bet: Adebayo over 17.5 points (-130)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have the best record in the NBA and are the No. 1 defence.
They’re on a six-game winning streak, blowing each team out by double digits over that stretch.
They guard multiple positions well, including centres, which OKC holds to the third-lowest scoring average per game (according to Betting Pros).
That might signal a fade on Adebayo and other Miami Heat players, but I think we can take advantage of a light line.
- Through five February games, this is by far Adebayo’s best-scoring month.
- He’s played 50 games, exactly half of those without former disgruntled teammate Jimmy Butler. Adebayo’s per-game scoring is up two points without Butler.
- His February usage rate is up more than 3% compared to any month this season.
Key stat: Adebayo has cleared this number in seven straight games.
NBA prop picks: Back the bigs
Jokic over 29.5 points (-108): One big concern here is blowout potential.
The Denver Nuggets played the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday, winning by 29. But that didn’t stop Jokic from producing his seventh 40-plus point game of the season.
He has smoked the Blazers in recent years, including a 34-point effort earlier this season.
Jokic has deployed his improved three-point stroke versus Portland, which ranks 20th in the NBA in opponent 3-point percentage.
Jokic has drilled a combined six triples on 13 attempts in the two meetings this season. That type of volume would go a long way tonight.
The three-time MVP is averaging 31.2 points in February.
Allen over 24.5 points/rebounds (-130): The Cleveland Cavaliers big man gets a tasty matchup against the Toronto Raptors, who are on a back-to-back.
Toronto’s starting centre and best rebounder Jakob Poeltl missed his fourth straight game Tuesday and appears to be out again tonight.
Joel Embiid took advantage of the assignment, scoring 27 points with 12 rebounds.
Allen isn’t the scorer Embiid is but he’s a better rebounder and torched Toronto twice already this season.
- Jan. 9: 18 points, 15 rebounds
- Nov. 24: 23 points, 13 rebounds
Allen is averaging 25.6 points/rebounds this month ahead of tonight’s game against the Raptors, who allow the eighth-most boards to centres.
Quick pick
White over 20.5 points (-120): Tuesday was a forgettable night for the Chicago Bulls.
They got dismantled by the Detroit Pistons, losing by 40 after scoring 29 points in the first half. Chicago gets the Pistons again and a better effort feels all but guaranteed.
White was among the duds (five points, 2-of-13 from the field). But he went into last night hot and had previously lit up Detroit this season.
I expect a bounce-back outing.
White is a big threat from long range, where the Pistons struggle (No. 28 in the NBA in opponent 3-point percentage).
- He’s 4-3 against this line since Zach LaVine played his last game for Chicago with one 20-point game.
- White scored 22 vs. the Pistons at the start of the month and 25 in November.
Picks made at 11:54 a.m. ET on 02/12/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.