Two all-star centres and a second-year forward make up today’s top prop pick recommendations.
The pregame narrative: Joel Embiid and Karl-Anthony Towns highlight Tuesday’s plays, which also feature Ausar Thompson. I like all three of them to be active on the glass.
Check out how I’m backing them in the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 11.
Best NBA prop bets
Best bet: Embiid over 9.5 rebounds (-130)
The Toronto Raptors are without their best rebounder tonight, starting centre Jakob Poeltl.
Their third-best rebounder, RJ Barrett, is also out, leaving Scottie Barnes as the only player on the team averaging more than 5.0 boards per game.
Embiid is questionable but should have his way on the glass if he plays.
The oft-injured Philadelphia 76ers star has not been the rebounding beast he has been in previous seasons, averaging 8.3 per game. But he’s had his minutes managed and played sporadically.
He’s a double-digit rebounding threat any time he’s on the court and has corralled 10-plus rebounds in four of his last five games.
Key stat: Toronto gives up the eighth-most rebounds to the centre position, per Betting Pros.
Quick picks
Towns over 38.5 points/rebounds (-112): Towns is averaging 37.5 points/rebounds on the season (a career-best mark) but this is a big number for any player.
That said, he’s cleared it once already this season against the Indiana Pacers, who may be down starting centre Myles Turner (questionable, neck).
Turner’s absence would leave a small Pacers lineup even more undersized, but Towns has performed in two matchups versus Indiana with Turner in the lineup.
Towns went off for 30 points and nine rebounds against Indiana in November and had a 21 and 15 game when the teams met in October.
The New York Knicks’ 7-footer is two games removed from a 27/20 effort and is second in the NBA in rebounds per game.
Indiana allows the fourth-most boards to centres.
Thompson over 16.5 points/rebounds (-120): Thompson began his nice stretch of play this month against the Chicago Bulls, whom the second-year forward will see again tonight.
The Detroit Pistons’ 22-year-old has scored in double figures in five consecutive games, the longest such stretch of his young career. He’s averaging 13.4 points in February, coinciding with an uptick in minutes.
Chicago has not defended forwards well this season and, in general, struggles on the defensive end. The Bulls allow the second-most points per game in the NBA.
On top of that, Thompson is averaging 7.0 rebounds in February, hauling in eight in three straight.
He had seven boards versus the Bulls on Feb. 2 and is a perfect 5-0 against this line this month.
Picks made at 12:15 p.m. ET on 02/11/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.