Every NBA team is in action on Friday as the league’s regular season draws to a close. I’ve got three prop bets for slate, headlined by Steph Curry.
The pregame narrative: The Golden State Warriors are in a five-team logjam to escape the Western Conference play-in, and I expect Curry to score in droves against the Portland Trail Blazers. My other plays are on Josh Giddey and Dyson Daniels.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 11.
NBA prop bets
Best Bet: Curry over 25.5 points (-108)
The Warriors are 14-point favourites as of Friday morning, so this game has blowout potential.
But that doesn’t scare me away from this line. Golden State is sixth in the West and can avoid the play-in if it holds serve. Steve Kerr has every incentive to run his horses out there — and if there is a massive blowout, Curry is likely to be at the helm.
The future Hall of Famer leads the Dubs in points (24.5) and shots (18.0) per game. This seems like a “leave no doubt” moment for Curry, who has been red-hot in April:
- 30.5 points/game
- 21.2 FGA/game
- 25+ points in 5 of 6 games
- 30+ points in 4 of 6 games
Portland has held Curry in check over the last three seasons (21.3 PPG, 2-4 vs. this line), but I’ll still side with the sharpshooter tonight.
Key stat: The Blazers have given up the 10th-most PPG to point guards this season, according to Fantasy Pros.
Best NBA picks
Giddey over 19.5 rebounds and assists (-108): The Chicago Bulls are one of the hottest teams in basketball, and Giddey has been at the forefront of their success.
The do-it-all point guard is averaging 20.4 points, 10.6 rebounds and 9.4 assists (20.0RRA) since March 1. Giddey has cleared this line in three of his last four games and draws an A-plus matchup against the bottom-feeding Washington Wizards.
- Washington has the third-worst defensive rating in basketball (118.7).
- On a per-game basis, the Wizards allow the fifth-most rebounds and assists to point guards.
Daniels over 11.5 rebounds and assists (-130): Daniels blew by this total last night with a near-triple-double 10-9-9 performance.
The “Great Barrier Thief” is averaging career-highs in points (14.2), rebounds (5.9) and assists (4.3) while playing DPOY-calibre defence.
He is 7-6 against this line in his last 13 games and should stay hot against a Philadelphia 76ers team that stopped trying to win a while ago.
The Sixers are 4-18 with the third-worst defensive rating since March 1.
NBA prop picks made at 10:37 a.m. ET on 04/11/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.