I’ve got three prop bets from Thursday’s five-game NBA slate.
The pregame narrative: Pascal Siakam has a good opportunity to fill the basket against the Cleveland Cavaliers’ skeleton crew. I’m also backing Atlanta’s Dyson Daniels and Memphis’ Zach Edey.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 10.
NBA prop bets
Best Bet: Siakam over 18.5 points (-117)
The Cavs have locked up the East’s top seed with three games to play. As a result, they’re resting the following players on Thursday:
- Darius Garland
- Donovan Mitchell
- Evan Mobley
- Max Strus
There are still some capable defenders taking the court for Cleveland, but I expect Siakam to feast with Mobley, a Defensive Player of the Year candidate, sidelined.
The Indiana Pacers’ power forward is averaging 20.4 PPG this season and has cleared this total in back-to-back games.
And in two games against Cleveland this season — with Mobley playing — he scored 23 and 18 points.
Indiana has won five straight games and is still jockeying for playoff positioning. Siakam should get plenty of run in an easy matchup.
Key stat: Siakam is 46-31 against this line this season.
Best NBA picks
Daniels over 26.5 PRA (-108): Daniels is going to get a handful of Most Improved Player votes, and for good reason.
The third-year guard is posting career-highs in points (14.3), rebounds (5.8) and assists (4.3) while shooting 49.5% from the field and playing elite defence.
Daniels posted 27 PRA the last time he played the Nets on March 16 and has been on a tear since, averaging 16.1 points, 7.0 rebounds and 4.6 assists (27.7 PRA).
He is 8-4 against this line in his last 12 games.
Edey 12+ rebounds (+106): Last Saturday, I faded Edey’s 9.5 rebound total against the Detroit Pistons — he finished that game with 21 boards.
Now I’m going the other way and am looking to back the Canadian rookie.
- Edey is averaging 17.3 rebounds since April 1, and is 4-0 against this line.
- He’s played 28-plus minutes in each game, which is well up from his 20.3-minute average in March.
The Minnesota Timberwolves, who Edey plays tonight, are a great rebounding team. But so are the Pistons and Golden State Warriors (who he had 16 rebounds against).
NBA prop picks made at 9:54 a.m. ET on 04/10/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.