I’ve got three NBA prop bets in mind from tonight’s four-game slate, including a fade of Bam Adebayo.
The latest: Adebayo’s Miami Heat face Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs, which should make for a tough night on the glass. I do have a plus-money rebounding prediction on an over elsewhere, though.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 30, featuring Kyshawn George and Franz Wagner.
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NBA prop bets
Best bet: George over 7.5 rebounds (+110)
The Wizards are among the youngest teams in the NBA this year, and George is at the forefront of the youth movement.
It’s still quite early, but the 21-year-old appears capable of making a significant leap in his second season.
George leads the Wizards in minutes (33.0/game), assists (5.0/game) and rebounds (9.3/game). He’s also 14-for-26 (53.8%) from 3-point range.
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Though he’s listed as a shooting guard, George has plenty of size at 6-foot-7. He plays an aggressive brand of basketball, evidenced by his 20 personal fouls through four games.
On the glass, he’s averaging 12.8 rebound chances per game, according to NBA.com’s tracking data. That’s a healthy number relative to what this prop is asking.
Despite George’s promising start as a scorer and passer, I’m hesitant to back him in other prop markets based on how stout the Oklahoma City Thunder are on defence.
This seems like a good fit, though, given that OKC allows the seventh-most rebounds per game and will be missing 7-footer Chet Holmgren.
Key stat: George is 4-0 vs. this prop, grabbing 9+ rebounds in three of four games.
Best NBA picks
Wagner over 1.5 threes (-108): The Orlando Magic have dropped four games in a row, so the vibes aren’t exactly great right now.
Orlando needs a lift on offence, and I expect that to happen Thursday night against a subpar Charlotte Hornets squad.
-> Bet on Franz Wagner to cash in from 3-point range on Thursday
Charlotte has allowed the fifth-most points per game (124.8), which is due in part to its 39.2% opponent 3-point percentage (fourth-highest in the NBA).
Who better to take advantage than Wagner, who’s 8-for-19 from deep so far?
Wagner is 3-2 vs. this prop on fairly pedestrian shooting volume. Over the previous two seasons, he averaged 5.2 attempted 3s per game.
I’m hoping for that kind of volume in a matchup that should entice the Magic to prioritize outside shooting.
Adebayo under 9.5 rebounds (-130): Victor Wembanyama is staying home in the paint a lot more this year, and that’s terrible news for opposing centres.
Wemby spent a lot more time floating on the perimeter last season, lessening his rebound opportunities in the process.
But the 7-foot-4 superstar has been a menace around the rim this year, grabbing a league-high 12.0 rebounds per game.
-> Fade Adebayo vs. Wembanyama’s Spurs
At 6-foot-9, Adebayo is undersized as a centre. He’s typically right around the 9.5-rebound mark, averaging 9.6 RPG since the start of the 2020-21 season.
There’s nothing traditional about Wembanyama, but given that he’s playing more like a traditional centre right now, Adebayo’s rebounding numbers should suffer.
The San Antonio Spurs have allowed just 6.7 RPG to opposing centres, which is easily the lowest total in the NBA.
NBA prop picks made at 4:36 p.m. ET on 10/30/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.