Three under-the-radar players headline my NBA prop bets on Sunday.
The latest: Pascal Siakam is the biggest name of the bunch. He has an opportunity to fill the stat sheet against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Later on, Deni Avdija looks to improve on his impressive start to the season.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 26, featuring a pick on rookie Kon Knueppel.
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NBA prop bets
Best bet: Knueppel 3+ threes made (+160)
It looks like Brandon Miller is going to miss tonight’s contest after suffering a shoulder injury in the Charlotte Hornets’ last game.
His status is important for this wager because if he’s out, Knueppel will be the lead candidate to fill his minutes.
After Miller exited in the second quarter against the Philadelphia 76ers, the rookie wing went on to play 30 minutes and scored 14 points on 5-of-11 shooting.
Knueppel has hit three or more 3-pointers in both games to start the season. His deep range ability got him drafted fourth overall and gives him a solid floor as a scorer.
-> Bet on Kon Knueppel vs. the Wizards
Triples can add up quickly when half of a player’s shot attempts are from beyond the arc. It also helps that Knueppel is shooting 60% from deep to begin his career.
He has a nice matchup to score, too. The Washington Wizards allowed the second-most points per game in the NBA last season.
This is still a good pick with Miller in the lineup, but if he’s out, this is a smash play.
Key stat: Knueppel was the best shooter in the draft, hitting more than 40% of his 3s in college. He started his rookie season 6-for-10 from 3-point range.
Best NBA picks
Avdija over 19.5 points (-118): Avdija has had a solid rise as an NBA player, but this looks like his true breakout season.
He’s played extremely well through two games, averaging 23.0 points while clearing this line both times.
Some would argue there’s regression to come, but I think this is the start of a very strong campaign. Here’s why:
- In the first game of the season, Avdija scored 20 points on 6-for-16 from the field (0-for-6 from 3). That is not a strong showing by any means, and he still got past this number.
- He went on to score 26 in his second game, going 11-for-18 from the field with four triples.
-> Back Avdija against the Clippers at NorthStar Bets
His usage rate (26.9%) ranks in the top 50 above players like Trae Young, Kawhi Leonard and Chet Holmgren.
The 24-year-old is shaping into a legit star, and the Portland Trail Blazers are treating him as such.
Through two games, the Los Angeles Clippers have the third-worst defensive rating.
Siakam over 11.5 rebounds/assists (-106): Siakam cleared this line on Saturday, even though he played only 25 minutes because of a blowout.
He’s now 2-0 on this wager, averaging 10.5 rebounds and 5.0 assists.
The good news about yesterday’s lopsided score is that Siakam and the Pacers’ starters will be more rested today than they would be for a typical back-to-back.
There is blowout potential here again with the Timberwolves being 12.5-point favourites at the time of writing.
But I’ve learned to buy in on the good lines without thinking too much about the outcome of the game, and there’s a ton of value here.
Siakam could clear this number with rebounds alone, but he’s been tasked with more playmaking duties with Tyrese Haliburton out for the season.
NBA prop picks made at 1:03 p.m. ET on 10/26/2025.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.