Toronto Blue Jays outfielder George Springer and Atlanta Braves starter Chris Sale highlight Friday’s top MLB prop picks.
The pregame narrative: Springer should deliver in a juicy matchup vs. the New York Yankees and I’m not shying away from Sale, who faces a tough challenge against the Arizona Diamondbacks. I also have a play on Tyler Soderstrom.
Check out the best MLB prop bets for April 25.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Springer over 1.5 total bases (+115)
Toronto’s offence is abysmal.
The Blue Jays were held to two runs over a three-game sweep to the Houston Astros in their most recent series and rank 25th in MLB in runs per game.
Nearly every player is underperforming in the power department, but Springer isn’t one of them.
The veteran is off to a sizzling start following the worst season of his career.
He’s in the 80th percentile or better in several key hitting metrics, per Baseball Savant, and has been Toronto’s best hitter through the first month.
| Stat | 2024 | 2025 |
| AVG | .220 | .333 |
| SLG | .371 | .536 |
| OPS | .674 | .956 |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.4% | 52.0% |
| Exit velocity (mph) | 87.5 | 92.0 |
The Blue Jays’ offence is presented with a good opportunity to bounce back in the Bronx against Yankees starter Carlos Carrasco.
The 38-year-old has a 6.53 ERA through five appearances (four starts) after two horrific seasons. Carrasco put up a 6.18 ERA and 1.54 WHIP from 2023-24, a span of 41 starts.
He doesn’t miss bats anymore, and his home park won’t do him any favours.
While Springer hasn’t had great success against Carrasco (.589 OPS in 26 career plate appearances), he has seen him plenty and will be familiar with his diminished repertoire.
At a good hitter’s park, Springer is a Blue Jay worth targeting.
Key stat: Springer has topped 1.5 total bases in 63.2% of his starts, according to Team Rankings. That’s second in MLB to Aaron Judge.
Best MLB picks
Sale over 5.5 Ks (-134): The Diamondbacks were the fourth-most difficult team in the majors to retire on strikes last year.
This year, they have the second-lowest K rate and by far the lowest vs. left-handed pitchers.
But Sale isn’t like most pitchers, and there won’t be many times this season to get him at this price on a 5.5 K line.
- Sale led all starters with a 32.1 K% last season (10% better than league average).
- The southpaw was at 29.4% in 2023 and comes into tonight with a 29.1% K rate.
Sale is elite at missing bats and has cleared this line in three of five starts despite going no more than five innings. The two times he fell short were five-strikeout outings.
Soderstrom over 0.5 RBI (+137): The 23-year-old enters tonight with a .970 OPS and is tied for the MLB lead with nine homers.
Soderstrom plays at what’s been a hitter-friendly environment (Sutter Health Park) and bats third behind two good bats in Lawrence Butler and Brent Rooker.
As of early Friday afternoon, Butler is -150 to score and Rooker is -134.
Soderstrom’s Athletics face righty Sean Burke and the Chicago White Sox tonight. Burke got the Athletics two starts ago, allowing six hits, five runs and a pair of homers.
One of those bombs was to Soderstrom, who’s demolishing right-handers: .319/.398/.694, eight HR.
MLB prop picks made at 1:14 p.m. ET on 04/25/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.