Two star hitters and one starting pitcher contribute to my MLB prop bets for Thursday.
Today’s MLB props narrative: Francisco Lindor is on a bit of a tear right now. He’s batting leadoff for the New York Mets tonight, and they have a good shot to pile up some runs. Elsewhere, look for Julio Rodriguez to have a strong performance against the Colorado Rockies.
Check out how I’m betting on them in the best MLB prop bets for Sept. 25, featuring a pick on Michael Lorenzen.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Lindor to score (-112)
I’m bullish on a few hitters in New York’s lineup. That gives Lindor value to score a run as the leadoff man.
- Juan Soto is raking right now. He hits second behind Lindor and has a .363 average and 1.250 OPS over his last 24 games.
- Pete Alonso is an RBI machine. He ranks third in MLB with 123 RBI and has at least one hit in nine of his past 10 games.
- Lindor benefits the most from Soto and Alonso’s production. Before going hitless yesterday, Lindor was on an 11-game hit streak. He scored 15 times and went 9-2 against this wager.
Shota Imanaga starts for the Chicago Cubs, and he’s been showing cracks recently. He’s allowed three or more earned runs in five straight starts (4.66 ERA).
Also, Imanaga has given up 10 home runs over those starts. The heart of the Mets’ order should see a lot of hittable pitches.
Key stat: Lindor has the fourth-most runs scored in MLB (113).
Best MLB picks
Rodriguez 1+ RBI (+110): With Colorado in town, I wanted to get behind one of Seattle’s bats, and Rodriguez makes a lot of sense.
- He’s really picked it up in the second half. Since the all-star break, Rodriguez has 18 home runs and 45 RBI. Both of those totals rank inside the top 10.
- On Wednesday he hit a home run, which is one way to cash this wager without any help.
There should be a lot of action on the bases with Bradley Blalock pitching. The righty has a dreadful 9.16 ERA this year and has allowed five or more runs in five straight starts.
Rodriguez should see opportunities to drive in runs hitting third in the order, and I expect him to take full advantage.
Lorenzen over 15.5 outs (-120): I want to focus on the Los Angeles Angels’ history with Lorenzen.
In total, the current offence is 19-for-75 (.253) with a 25.9% K rate.
Nothing mindblowing, but enough to catch my attention based on this modest line.
When Lorenzen pitched against the Angels earlier in September, he worked 6.0 innings, allowing four hits and two runs.
Overall, he’s started 25 games this season and cleared this line 15 times.
In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays, Lorenzen went 7.2 innings, giving up three hits and one run.
I believe he can build off that momentum against the Angels, who are significantly worse offensively than the Blue Jays.
MLB prop picks made at 12:55 p.m. ET on 09/25/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.