On Sunday, two all-star bats headline my MLB prop bets.
Today’s MLB props narrative: Rafael Devers has been very efficient at the plate lately. He’ll have a shot to keep his hot streak going against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Later on, look for Trevor Story to shine on Sunday Night Baseball.
Check out my top MLB prop bets for Sept. 14, featuring a prediction on Jake Cronenworth.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Devers to score (+123)
Devers gets on base a lot thanks to his 97th-percentile walk rate (15.4%).
His .378 on-base percentage currently ranks as the best in his nine-year career and routinely puts him in a good position to score.
And that’s led to some incredible results over the last 16 games:
- .311 batting average
- .425 OBP
- 19 runs scored
Tyler Glasnow will start for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and I’ll give him credit — he’s been a beast this season.
But Devers has the upper hand in the head-to-head history. The slugging infielder has reached base 10 times in 24 plate appearances vs. Glasnow.
That’s probably because he tends to enjoy a platoon advantage. He has an even better .398 OBP this season against right-handed pitchers.
Key stat: Devers is 13-3 against this wager over the past 16 games.
Best MLB picks
Story over 1.5 bases (+106): In primetime, I expect Story to come through for the Boston Red Sox.
He’s gone hitless in this series so far, but this is a great chance to get back on track.
Even including the slow start vs. the New York Yankees, Story is raking over the past 11 games:
- .302 BA
- .883 OPS
- 23 total bases
Additionally, he gets to face an inexperienced Will Warren on the mound.
It’s a short sample size, but in five at-bats vs. Warren, Story has two hits, one of which was a home run.
Cronenworth to score (+118): Cronenworth caught my eye as a bottom-of-the-order hitter with a lot of value based on how he’s playing.
- In his past 19 games, he has a .296 BA and a whopping .451 OBP.
- Cronenworth has more walks (14) than Ks (10) over that span.
- He’s scored 11 runs and cashed this wager 10 times.
This series is being played in San Diego, but the Colorado Rockies’ weak pitching staff can be taken advantage of even away from Coors Field.
Colorado will start German Marquez, whose 6.31 ERA is third-worst in MLB among pitchers with over 100 innings of work.
In 21 at-bats vs. Marquez, Cronenworth has a .286 average and a 1.062 OPS.
MLB prop picks made at 10:30 a.m. ET on 09/14/2025.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.