Best MLB prop bets May 6: Back slugger Tyler Soderstrom and Detroit’s Torkelson, McKinstry

MLB prop bets

It’s a busy Tuesday in MLB, with 16 games on the loaded schedule.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Some poor weather conditions are expected in Colorado tonight, but that’s not enough for me to pass on good prices on good hitters at Coors Field. I’m also targeting Athletics slugger Tyler Soderstrom.

Check out the best May 6 MLB prop bets on Spencer Torkelson, Zach McKinstry and Soderstrom.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Torkelson over 1.5 total bases (+125)

Rain is in the forecast all day, but the heavier stuff is supposed to take place ahead of the game, which projects to have a first-pitch temperature below 10 degrees Celsius. 

Now that we have that out of the way, let’s focus on the good.

Detroit’s Torkelson enters tonight’s game as the team leader in: 

  • Home runs: 10
  • Total bases: 67
  • OPS: .889 
  • ISO: .306 (6th in MLB)

Torkelson has topped this line in 50% of his starts this season, according to Team Rankings, and is handling right-handed pitching just fine despite better production with the platoon advantage. 

Colorado is starting right-hander Chase Dollander. The rookie has a 6.48 ERA over five starts, allowing four-plus runs in three of those outings and a total of eight homers. 

Six of those bombs have been surrendered at home, where he’ll be tonight at the most hitter-friendly park in the bigs. 

Key stat: Only 10 players have more extra-base hits than Torkelson’s 18.

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Best MLB picks

McKinstry over 0.5 runs (-106): Sticking with the Tigers, I really like the value on this one tonight. 

There are other intriguing plus-money options, as this game has several viable plays. But I like McKinstry to score just as much as the Torkelson best bet. 

McKinstry leads the Tigers with a .375 on-base percentage and projects to bat No. 3 in Detroit’s lineup, per Rotowire. 

That likely puts him ahead of Torkelson and Riley Greene, two of Detroit’s best power bats. 

Dollander has struggled with control, walking two-plus batters in four straight outings, giving McKinstry a good scoring outlook.

Even if the Tigers can’t solve Dollander, they’ll get a Rockies bullpen that has the third-highest walk rate in MLB and sixth-lowest K rate. 

Detroit should have plenty of scoring chances tonight, and McKinstry has crossed the plate in 53.1% of his games, a top-12 mark in MLB. 

Soderstrom over 1.5 total bases (+120): Soderstrom’s massive power outburst has slowed down, as he hasn’t hit a home run since April 17.

But he still enters the night with an .859 OPS and terrific numbers against right-handed pitching.

  • The left-handed hitting Soderstrom has hit eight of his nine homers vs. RHPs.
  • Soderstrom is slugging .549 vs. righties with a .917 OPS compared to marks of .412/.676 vs. LHPs.

The Athletics are at their hitter-friendly home park and will see Seattle Mariners righty Emerson Hancock to start tonight’s game.

Hancock has been demolished this season. Lefty batters are hitting .353 against him, and overall, opponents enter with a .347/.388/.520 line.

The Athletics’ Sutter Health Park has been the No. 1 offensive environment in baseball this season, per Baseball Savant.

MLB prop picks made at 2:25 p.m. ET on 05/06/2025.

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Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.