A red-hot Julio Rodriguez headlines Wednesday’s MLB prop bets.
Today’s MLB props narrative: The centre fielder has been crushing the baseball over the last month or so. J-Rod gets a Grade-A matchup with Jonathan Cannon and the Chicago White Sox.
Check out my favourite MLB prop bets on Aug. 6, featuring a prediction on Marcell Ozuna.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Rodriguez over 1.5 total bases (-108)
Take a look at Rodriguez’s last 20 games:
- .298 batting average
- .631 SLG
- 12-8 vs. this wager
- 53 total bases
For context, that slugging percentage would rank second in MLB over the entire season behind only Aaron Judge.
And on Wednesday, he sees a struggling starter in Cannon.
Over his past two starts, Cannon has allowed 12 runs (10.1 innings pitched). The righty ranks in the 14th percentile in both xERA (5.04) and xBA (.280), per Baseball Savant.
Cannon’s 1.5 HR/9 would be tied for the eighth-worst mark in MLB if he’d pitched enough innings to qualify.
Key stat: The righty throws some variation of a fastball 64.7% of the time. Rodriguez does his best work against fastballs, with a .280 average.
Best MLB pick
Ozuna over 0.5 runs (+115): Ozuna is struggling with the bat, which is worth acknowledging. He has just four hits in his last 38 plate appearances.
But he has 11 walks compared to eight strikeouts during that stretch, so it’s not a case of not seeing the ball well.
His .395 OBP is still elite over those 13 games, and he gets a nice platoon advantage on Wednesday night.
Against left-handed pitchers, Ozuna has a .415 OBP. When a guy is reaching base over 40% of the time, he will have loads of scoring opportunities.
And that’s been the case despite his low average. Ozuna is 4-1 against this wager in his past five starts.
Finally, he has 11 hits in 26 at-bats vs. Jose Quintana (.423), with three walks. Quintana has an 18th-percentile xERA (4.84), indicating his actual ERA of 3.50 comes with some tremendously good ball luck.
MLB prop picks made at 3:54 p.m. ET on 08/06/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.