Houston Astros third baseman Carlos Correa highlights the top MLB prop picks for Tuesday’s MLB slate.
Today’s MLB props narrative: Correa is on fire, and his Astros have a dream matchup at home against Tanner Gordon and the Colorado Rockies.
Check out my top MLB prop bets for Aug. 26, featuring predictions on Kerry Carpenter, Patrick Corbin and Hurston Waldrep.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Correa to score (-118)
This is a steep price to pay on a runs scored prop, but this is a plus-plus matchup.
Correa has been on a tear since rejoining Houston at the trade deadline, and there’s little reason to believe he’ll slow down tonight.
Gordon is coming off a surprisingly good start against the Los Angeles Dodgers, but has otherwise been terrible.
- He has a 7.11 ERA and 1.67 WHIP through nine starts. In 2024, he was even worse (8.65, 1.72 in eight starts).
- Gordon surrenders plenty of hard contact and struggles to miss bats (2nd percentile K rate).
Houston should put balls in play, and Correa is as good a bet as any Astro to get on base and in position to score.
Correa is batting .349/.407/.494 in 21 games with Houston.
He’s reached base safely in all but three of those contests and enters with a nine-game hitting streak.
Opponents are batting .333/.373/.516 off Gordon and Colorado’s bullpen has a 6.26 ERA in the second half, the worst mark in baseball.
On top of that, there’s a good chance Houston will get its top hitter, Yordan Alvarez, back in the lineup. Alvarez, who hasn’t played since May 2, would surely hit behind Correa.
Key stat: Correa has scored in four straight.
Best MLB picks
Carpenter over 1.5 bases (+100): I’m turning back to this for a second straight day (Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a double last night).
- Sutter Health Park, home of the Athletics, is the top hitting environment in MLB outside of Coors Field, per Baseball Savant. And wind is expected to be blowing out.
- The Detroit Tigers’ middle-of-the-order bat is slugging .619 over the last 30 days, and .548 vs. righties.
Right-hander Osvaldo Bido will open for the Athletics and likely go multiple frames (he’s thrown three-plus innings of relief twice since Aug. 11).
Bido has a 5.37 ERA, has been rocked at home, and left-handed batters are slugging .550 off him.
Best pitching props
Corbin under 4.5 Ks (+105): Things are starting to catch up to the Texas Rangers lefty, who had an ERA of 5.20 or higher from 2021-24.
Corbin began August with a 3.78 ERA. After four starts this month, it’s ballooned to 4.61.
- He’s gone fewer than five innings in all four starts, walking multiple batters each time and striking out no more than three.
The Angels have the highest K rate in MLB, and Corbin has cleared this in all three starts vs. them.
But he’s not expected to work deep (his outs line is 14.5). And before Jacob deGrom last night, the Rangers got 7.0 innings out of their starters in three straight.
With an off day coming on Thursday, too, there should be no usage concerns for Texas’ bullpen.
Waldrep over 4.5 Ks (-112): The Atlanta Braves rookie has been sensational, recording at least 17 outs in all four of his starts and striking out six-plus batters in three consecutive.
He’ll see the Miami Marlins on Tuesday and stifled them earlier this month. Waldrep allowed one run on four hits, fanning six.
Teammate Spencer Strider failed to clear this line vs. Miami last night, but all three Blue Jays right-handers did over the weekend (Shane Bieber: 9; Jose Berrios: 8; Kevin Gausman: 7).
Waldrep has an elite swing-and-miss splitter, helping him generate a 27.0% K rate (MLB average for starters is 21.6%).
MLB prop picks made at 2:20 p.m. ET on 08/26/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.