Three big-time sluggers contribute to Sunday’s MLB prop bets.
Today’s MLB props narrative: Julio Rodriguez has been smashing the baseball, and the Seattle Mariners have a Grade-A matchup. Later on, Seiya Suzuki looks to show off his power on Sunday Night Baseball.
Check out my top MLB prop bets for Aug. 10, featuring predictions on Rodriguez, Suzuki and Warming Bernabel.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Rodriguez over 0.5 runs (+100)
J-Rod has been one of the best power hitters in MLB over the last few weeks. Take a look at his stats from the past 17 games:
- .270 average
- .662 SLG
- Nine home runs
That includes two blasts last night against the Tampa Bay Rays. Over the full season, that slugging percentage would rank second behind only Aaron Judge.
And on Sunday, Tampa sends Adrian Houser to the mound, who’s been struggling.
In his final two starts with the Chicago White Sox, Houser allowed six earned runs over 11 innings.
He was then moved to the Rays at the deadline, and in his first start with his new team, Houser got lit up for five runs on 11 hits over 5.2 innings.
That equals a 5.94 ERA over those starts.
And now, he faces a red-hot Mariners offence led by Rodriguez. The centrefielder usually hits third in the lineup in front of power bats Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor.
Key stat: Rodriguez has reached base at least once in 13 of his past 18 games. Suarez, who bats just behind J-Rod, is 6-for-19 off Houser with two home runs.
Best MLB picks
Bernabel over 1.5 bases (+155): You may not know the name “Warming Bernabel,” but let me introduce you to one of the lone bright spots on the Colorado Rockies.
He only has 13 games of big-league experience since being called up, but that small sample size is super inspiring.
The 23-year-old is batting .346 with a 1.012 OPS. Of all qualified batters, only Judge has a season-long OPS higher than 1.000.
That production isn’t inflated by a few good games either. Bernabel has at least a hit in 11 of his 13 MLB games.
On Sunday, he faces Brandon Pfaadt, who’s been one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball this season.
He has a 5.02 season-long ERA, and his last three starts have been even worse. Across those outings, he has a 6.32 ERA.
Pfaadt’s xERA (6.07) and xBA (.304) rank in the second percentile or worse.
Look for Bernabel to continue his meteoric rise against a struggling pitcher.
Suzuki over 1.5 total bases (+104): I’ll close things out with a pick on the late game.
- Suzuki has a .353 average over his past five games.
- The Japanese slugger has a 97th-percentile barrel rate (18.5) and 91st-percentile xSLG (.531).
- St. Louis starts Sonny Gray. Suzuki is 3-for-9 off the righty with a home run.
Gray’s 4.21 ERA is his worst since his 2019 campaign with the New York Yankees.
The veteran also barely walks his opposition. His 4.0 walk rate is one of the best in the majors.
He should give Suzuki multiple offerings to hit, and I expect the hard-hitting right fielder to stay hot.
MLB prop picks made at 11:15 a.m. ET on 08/10/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.