A little bit of everything finds its way onto this parlay that features an over, an under and a moneyline.
The pregame narrative: The Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants are competent offensive sides and should top a modest total. A lower-scoring game is likely in the cards when the Toronto Blue Jays visit the Los Angeles Angels. I’m also expecting the New York Mets to blow past the Oakland Athletics.
Check out the best MLB parlay picks for Tuesday, August 14.
MLB parlay picks
Parlay: Braves/Giants over 6.5 runs + Blue Jays/Angels under 9.5 runs + Mets ML (+270)
Braves vs. Giants over 6.5 runs (-209): There are a couple of reasons why the over on this total intrigues me.
Firstly, I’m not really sold on either starter. Grant Holmes gets the ball for Atlanta and now that he’s eating more innings for the squad, his numbers are rising pretty significantly.
After pitching three-plus innings in three of his first eight appearances of the season, he’s done so in each of his last five outings and the results aren’t great.
Holmes owns a 6.00 ERA during this stretch while the over on this number has cashed each time.
Robbie Ray starts for San Francisco and his 3.98 ERA masks an underwhelming 5.24 FIP.
Even still, the over on this number has cashed in three of his four appearances this year.
Both offences are capable of topping this lowly number. The Braves rank 13th in OPS this season (.710) and the Giants aren’t far behind in 15th (.707).
Other picks
Blue Jays vs. Angels under 9.5 runs (-163): Tyler Anderson and Jose Berrios have one thing in common: They’ve both been lucky this season.
Anderson owns a 2.99 ERA but his 4.39 FIP is significantly worse. Berrios’ 3.97 ERA and 5.15 FIP illustrate the same.
But who says the luck has to run out tonight?
Both benefit from seeing some of the league’s worst offences. Toronto’s an underwhelming 21st in OPS (.694) while Los Angeles is even worse (.684), ranking 24th in MLB.
Even if both experience a correction of sorts, this is still a high enough total for the under to cash.
Toronto’s averaging 4.13 runs per game while Los Angeles is averaging 4.03.
The under on this total has hit in five of Berrios’ last seven road starts and six of Anderson’s last nine home outings.
Mets moneyline (-182): Oakland struck first in this series but I expect a bounce-back performance from New York.
The Mets have lost four consecutive contests but David Peterson’s steady presence should guide the team back into the win column.
New York is an impressive 9-3 when he starts this year thanks to his strong 3.34 ERA.
Peterson doesn’t give up much big contact as he’s holding opponents to a minuscule .371 SLG this season.
Oakland turns to Joey Estes and his numbers aren’t as strong. Estes boasts a 4.70 ERA and opponents have slugged .452 off him.
New York’s offence only has five runs over its last four games, but there’s reason to believe a resurgent effort is coming.
The Mets are 10th in runs per game (4.75), faring significantly better than the Athletics who rank 25th (4.08).
Picks made at 1:41 p.m. on 08/14/24.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.