The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies settle their weekend series on Sunday Night Baseball.
The pregame narrative: New York and Philadelphia have exchanged blows across the first two games of this series, setting up an all-important rubber match. The winner of tonight’s contest will slip into first in the NL East as the two squads continue jockeying for position.
Check out my Mets vs. Phillies prop bets, featuring Alec Bohm and Brandon Nimmo.
Mets vs. Phillies prop bets
Best Bet: Bohm over 1.5 total bases (-104)
It’s hard to ignore somebody playing as well as Bohm.
The Philadelphia infielder is hitting the cover off the ball. Here’s how he’s performed across his last 12 games:
- Hits in 11 contests (20 total)
- .408 batting average
- .571 SLG
- 1.024 OPS
- 28 total bases
Bohm is averaging 2.33 total bases during this stretch, clearing this total in seven outings.
He’s facing a pitcher tonight in David Peterson who, at face value, has performed very well this season. The New York hurler combines a 2.60 ERA with a 3.06 FIP, but there’s not much to Peterson’s Baseball Savant page that’ll blow you away:
- 3.75 expected ERA (54th percentile)
- .268 expected batting average (26th percentile)
Combine those with a 29th percentile average exit velocity, and you get a pitcher who’s liable to be hit hard on any given night.
Bohm is doing an excellent job of making quality contact, as he’s in the 91st percentile of squared up percentage this campaign.
One important factor working in Bohm’s favour, too, is his head-to-head success against Peterson.
Key stat: Bohm has nine hits, including two home runs, in 26 at-bats versus Peterson.
Best MLB picks
Nimmo over 1.5 total bases (+148): Speaking of hot hitters, here’s another guy who’s scorching earth at the plate.
Nimmo is absolutely demolishing the baseball. The Mets outfielder just cranked two home runs in Saturday’s victory over the Phillies, and has posted the following numbers across his last 13 games:
- .340 batting average
- .679 SLG
- 1.076 OPS
- Five home runs
- 36 total bases
Nimmo is averaging 2.77 total bases during this run and has cashed this prop in seven contests.
He faces a pitcher in Jesus Luzardo who has struggled ahead of this matchup. Luzardo pairs a 13.50 ERA with a 5.40 FIP in his last four starts.
Bet on Nimmo to stay hot and deliver on this plus-money prop.
Mets vs. Phillies prop bets made at 11:46 a.m. ET on 06/22/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.