The floundering Toronto Maple Leafs pay the Pittsburgh Penguins a visit on Saturday night.
The pregame narrative: Father Time will have to wait another year before it claims the career of Sidney Crosby. The Pittsburgh forward continues to produce and is a great pick to beat his shot prop. On the other side, a pair of Leafs are great fade candidates in a tough matchup.
Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Penguins prop picks for the game on Nov. 29, featuring Morgan Rielly and Easton Cowan.
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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins prop picks
Best Bet: Crosby over 2.5 shots (-118)
I’m a big fan of this pick tonight for several reasons.
Firstly, Crosby continues to defy the natural aging curve of most NHL players. The 38-year-old superstar has 15 goals and 25 points in 23 games this season.
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Crosby is second on the Penguins in shots this year with 53, and he’s still the focal point of Pittsburgh’s offensive attack.
The offence shouldn’t meet much resistance against a Maple Leafs team that’s been all sorts of bad in their own zone.
Defensively, Toronto ranks poorly in some of the most important defensive categories:
- 31st in shots per game (31.3)
- 29th in goals per game (3.63)
- 27th in scoring chances per 60 (30.2)
Simply put, the Maple Leafs look like the Washington Generals on most nights in their own end. I’m happy to back Crosby in a ripe matchup.
Key stat: Crosby has topped this total in three of his last four games.
Best NHL prop picks
Rielly to not score 1+ points (-120): Rielly is having a great offensive year. But tonight doesn’t profile as a great night for production.
The Toronto blue-liner has 18 points in 23 games, but he’s been pointless in two of his last four outings.
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Additionally, the Penguins have been a surprisingly stingy defensive side this season:
- 4th in goals per game (2.61)
- T-4th in penalty kill rate (85.7%)
- 4th in team save percentage (.909)
This is bad news for the Maple Leafs, who haven’t scored more than two regulation goals in six consecutive outings.
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins prop picks made at 10:34 a.m. ET on Nov. 29, 2025.
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Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.