The Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers meet in a Game 4 showdown that will shape the rest of this series.
The pregame narrative: A win for Toronto puts Florida on the ropes and gives the former three chances to close out this series. A victory for the latter knots this one up at two and makes it a best-of-three. Very little separates these two after a trio of one-goal games to begin the series.
Brad Marchand and Matthew Knies are the targets of my Maple Leafs vs. Panthers prop picks for Game 4 on May 11.
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers picks
Best Bet: Marchand to score 1+ points (+112)
The year is 2025, and Marchand is still tormenting Toronto.
In a different uniform, albeit, he’s still reining terror on the Maple Leafs.
The pesky winger has been Florida’s most productive player. He has four points through three games and firmly entrenched himself with the overtime game-winning goal in Game 3.
Marchand is proving to be worth everything they gave up for him at the trade deadline, as his eight points are tied for first among all Panthers this postseason.
He’s been one of the team’s steadiest sources of offensive opportunities, ranking third among Florida skaters in scoring chances (18), according to Natural Stat Trick.
Anthony Stolarz’s injury also bolsters the Panthers’ offensive outlook. The goaltender still isn’t skating, per head coach Craig Berube, and that likely puts Joseph Woll in the net for another game.
Woll hasn’t impressed in his three appearances, posting a .869 save percentage in the series.
Bet on more production from Marchand.
Key stat: Marchand has a point in five consecutive games (seven total).
Game 4 prop prediction
Knies to score 1+ points (-125): It’s clear that Toronto has been missing a player like Knies all these years.
His combination of size and skill has been lacking in postseasons past.
Knies has four points through three games, already providing a pair of multi-point efforts in this series.
The case for Knies starts with his deployment in Toronto’s lineup. The winger skates alongside Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner on the team’s first line.
He also plays on the top power play unit with Matthews, Marner, John Tavares and William Nylander.
Where Knies has been very good for the Maple Leafs is getting to the premium scoring areas. He’s tied for second on the squad in the playoffs with 15 high-danger chances.
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers prop picks made at 4:20 p.m. ET 05/10/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.