The pregame narrative: The magic number is one point, as the Leafs need to win or lose in overtime to lock up the division. I expect a big performance and am taking prop bets for John Tavares and Auston Matthews.
Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Sabres for April 15.
Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Sabres
Best Bet: Tavares to score 1+ points (-143)
I took this pick at this exact price on Sunday, and Tavares came through, scoring a goal against the Carolina Hurricanes.
Now, the Leafs play the Sabres, a much worse defensive team than the Hurricanes.
- Buffalo allows the fourth most goals (3.49) and 11th most shots (28.9) per game.
- The side is expected to start James Reimer tonight. His .898 SV% is less than impressive.
Tavares is rolling ahead of the playoffs, recording a point in four straight games and in 10 of his last 12.
Key stat: The former captain has five points in two games against the Sabres this season.
Quick pick
Matthews over 3.5 shots (+100): Matthews may not be producing at the same rate as last year, but he’s had a really good campaign, nonetheless.
- 75 points in 65 games (31 goals)
- 3.91 shots per game (fourth-most in NHL)
As mentioned before, the Sabres rank in the bottom half of the league for shots against.
Matthews is accustomed to big shooting nights and doesn’t get a plus-money price on this line often. Maybe it’s because he’s fallen short in three of the past four games, but I’m willing to look past that.
Mattews recorded five shots on goal in both games against Buffalo earlier this season.
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres prop picks made at 1:15 p.m. ET 04/15/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.