A pair of Toronto Maple Leafs are staring down prime shooting nights against the Anaheim Ducks.
The pregame narrative: Auston Matthews fired eight shots on goal against the Los Angeles Kings on Saturday night. He’s not the player I’m picking to produce on Sunday. My targets are my teammates John Tavares and Mitch Marner on Sunday.
Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Ducks for March 30.
Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Ducks
Best Bet: Tavares over 2.5 shots (-108)
There are several reasons why this is a very reasonable line.
Firstly, Tavares is a consistent shooter. He’s averaging 2.65 shots per game this season and has been firing the puck at a solid rate recently.
Tavares has 15 shots across his last five games with 25 total shot attempts during this stretch, including eight in Saturday’s win over the Los Angeles Kings.
The Toronto centre is still one of the best at getting himself into peak shot-taking areas. Tavares is 20th among all NHL skaters in expected goals (27.97), according to Natural Stat Trick.
The matchup is what elevates this play. Tavares and the rest of the Maple Leafs battle a Ducks squad that is brutal at limiting opposing teams’ shot totals.
No team in the NHL is allowing more shots per game than Anaheim (32.1).
Tavares should be able to pepper plenty of pucks against the Ducks.
Key stat: Tavares has topped this total in three of his last five games.
Quick pick
Marner over 2.5 shots (+137): Marner isn’t a prolific shooter, but this price makes him worth a look.
The Maple Leafs winger has fallen short of this total in 10 consecutive games, but he does have 11 shot attempts across his last two contests.
Anaheim’s inability to limit high-shot outputs plays in Marner’s favour. In his lone outing against the Ducks this season, he had six shot attempts and four shots on goal.
Marner’s usage isn’t a concern, either. The forward plays on Toronto’s first line and top power play, meaning he’ll be in the middle of his team’s offensive attack.
The Ducks boast the worst Corsi against per 60 mark in the NHL (66.73). Marner will likely have a high shot total if Toronto can dominate play against Anaheim.
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks prop picks made at 11:35 a.m. ET 03/30/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.