The Toronto Maple Leafs and Philadelphia Flyers complete a home-and-home series in Philly on Tuesday night.
The pregame narrative: Toronto squeaked out a 3-2 win over the Flyers at home and I predict another win for the Leafs on Tuesday. I’ll also back Matthew Knies, who’s on the biggest heater of his young career.
Check out my Maple Leafs picks vs. Flyers for Jan. 7.
Maple Leafs picks vs. Flyers
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Best Bet: Leafs moneyline (-132)
Toronto turned to 23-year-old goalie Dennis Hildeby at home on Saturday and Philidelphia missed the chance to steal a win.
Hildeby stopped 30-of-32 shots in his best performance of the season.
On Tuesday, the Leafs turn back to Joseph Woll, who enters with these numbers:
- 13-6-0 record
- .914 SV%.
- 2.48 GAA
Toronto had an underwhelming performance at Scotiabank Arena but I believe the situational advantage lies with the away side here.
The Flyers capped off a six-game road trip on Saturday while the Leafs played six of eight contests at home during that time.
And it’s not like the Flyers are a good home team, either. They are 8-9-1 at Wells Fargo Center.
Toronto is the better team, sitting atop the Atlantic Division and carrying a four-game win streak into the matchup.
Key stat: The Flyers allow the third-most goals per game (3.55).
Quick pick
Knies to score 1+ points (+100): Knies followed up his five-point night with another goal on Saturday.
Philadelphia will start Ivan Fedotov in goal again tonight. The Finnish netminder ranks 70th in the NHL with a -3.9 goals saved above expected, per Money Puck.
Knies is currently skating on the first line with Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner, creating an excellent opportunity for him to stay hot.
The trio has a combined 16 points in two games since Matthews’ return and I expect the production to continue in a soft matchup.
NHL picks made at 10:16 a.m. ET on 01/07/25.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.