Liverpool head back to Anfield down 1-0 to Tottenham in the Carabao Cup semi-final on Thursday.
The pregame narrative: Liverpool will need to attack aggressively to keep its treble hopes alive, and I expect they’ll pile up goals against an injury-riddled Spurs team. Player props on Mohamed Salah and Dominik Szoboszlai round out the +335 SGP.
Check out my Liverpool vs. Tottenham same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 6.
Liverpool vs. Tottenham predictions
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Parlay: Liverpool over 2.5 total goals | Salah to score | Szoboszlai over 0.5 shots on target (+335)
Liverpool over 2.5 total goals (-175): Liverpool was caught napping in the first leg, but I expect the Premier League leaders to attack aggressively from the outset.
Although three goals seem a lot on paper, the Reds have the attacking firepower to get the job done. Here are their attacking stats in league play:
- 1st in expected goals (2.37 per 90)
- 1st in shots on target (6.91 per 90)
- 1st in big chances
- 2nd in touches inside the box
On the flip side, Tottenham’s backline is battered by injuries and leaking goals at will.
Although centre-back Mickey van de Ven is back from injury, a torn ACL to Radu Dragusin further stretches the list.
In their last two league matches, the Reds smoked the Spurs for 10 combined goals on 9.0 expected goals.
With Arne Slot likely planning for an aggressive attack, I fancy their chances to score a flurry of goals.
SGP legs
Salah to score (-124): If Liverpool runs up the goals tally, you can expect one will come from the Egyptian King.
Salah is arguably the best attacker in the Premier League, and the stats are telling.
- Top scorer in the EPL with 21 goals
- 1st in xG per 90 (0.81)
- 2nd in shots on target (43)
His best performance of the season came against the Spurs in December, scoring twice in the 6-3 victory.
The Liverpool captain is also tasked as the main penalty-taker, adding further value bonus to this prop.
In most circumstances, you won’t get rich laying a -124 price for anyone to score. But it makes sense here.
Szoboszlai over 0.5 shots on target (-120): Szoboszlai is a key component to Liverpool’s high-octane attack.
Although the surface stats aren’t eye-popping, the Hungarian midfielder possesses a cannon for a leg.
One of the standout skills is his ability to deliver dangerous balls into the box or on goal from free-kicks. And I predict he gets a few chances here, given the likelihood that Liverpool dominates possession.
Szoboszlai has cashed this prop in seven of his past eight league starts, averaging 4.25 shots during that stretch.
Picks made at 2:24 p.m. on 2/04/25.
