A pair of one-loss, Super Bowl-calibre squads square off on Monday Night Football to close out Week 3.
The pregame narrative: Neither the Detroit Lions nor the Baltimore Ravens were looking to start 1-2, but that’ll be the fate for one of these teams. Baltimore is favoured to win at home in a game with the highest projected total of the week.
Check out my Lions vs. Ravens same-game parlay predictions for Week 3 below, featuring Zay Flowers and Jahymr Gibbs.
Lions vs. Ravens SGP predictions
SGP: Flowers 70+ rec. yards | Lions +7.5 | Gibbs 20+ rec. yards (+335)
Flowers 70+ receiving yards (-115): Two weeks isn’t enough time to know if Flowers has ascended into the elite receiver tier, but he’s off to an excellent start.
The third-year WR was drafted to be great, as the Ravens selected him 22nd overall in the 2023 draft. After reaching the Pro Bowl last year, he’s put together some monster numbers to open this season:
- Week 1: 7 catches (9 targets), 143 yards, 1 TD
- Week 2: 7 catches (11 targets), 75 yards
Flowers has been targeted on 40.8% of his routes, per Player Profiler, which is unsustainably high. But he was a target hog last year, too, with a 25.6% target share that ranked 21st in the NFL. He’s quite clearly the No. 1 option in the Ravens’ passing game.
Detroit demolished the Chicago Bears last week, but Chicago’s WR1 — Rome Odunze — still feasted. Odunze finished with seven catches on 11 targets for 128 yards and two scores.
If Flowers continues seeing a boatload of targets, I expect he’ll continue to crest this yardage total.
Monday Night Football SGP picks
Gibbs 20+ receiving yards (-162): The Lions love checking it down to Gibbs, and the Ravens are an excellent matchup for that game plan to persist.
- The Ravens allowed the second-most receptions and the sixth-most receiving yards to running backs so far this season. An opposing RB has cashed this bet in both games against Baltimore so far.
- Last year, Baltimore allowed 39.6 receiving yards/game to opposing RBs (fourth-most in the NFL).
Gibbs has been wildly inefficient — but heavily involved — in Detroit’s passing game so far. He has caught all 13 of his targets for 41 yards, going 1-1 vs. this prop.
Last year, Gibbs went 13-5 vs. this prop while averaging 9.9 yards per reception.
The Lions should continue to find him underneath, and with his athleticism, Gibbs may only need a few targets to get this done.
Lions +7.5 (-195): I already highlighted the Lions as a potential upset pick this week after their get-right win over Chicago.
It’s pretty rare to be able to bank points with Detroit at a decent price, and I’m glad to do it.
The Lions were only underdogs twice last year, which is a testament to their talent. They finished No. 1 in scoring offence and No. 7 in scoring defence.
Detroit had some major personnel losses in the offseason, with both coordinators departing for head coaching jobs. But the key playmakers on both sides of the ball are still wearing Honolulu Blue.
The Ravens and Lions have followed the same path so far this year, losing on the road to a championship contender in Week 1 and stomping out a lesser opponent at home in Week 2.
Baltimore should win this one at home, sure, but look for Detroit to put up a great fight.
Since 2022, the Lions are 12-5 ATS and 7-10 straight up as underdogs.
Lions vs. Ravens predictions made at 10:04 a.m. on 09/20/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.