A series-shifting matchup awaits the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers on Tuesday night, as the Knicks look to even the series on the road
The pregame narrative: Road underdogs are 3-0 so far in a series that has been overflowing with drama. Indiana is a slight home favourite, as Tyrese Haliburton and co. look to stay in front.
Check out my Pacers vs. Knicks SGP predictions for Game 4 on May 27, featuring Haliburton and Josh Hart.
Pacers vs. Knicks predictions
Parlay: Knicks +5.5 | Hart 8+ rebounds | Haliburton 3+ threes (+295)
Knicks +5.5 (-190): It’s only been three games, but we’ve seen it all from this Knicks vs. Pacers series already.
- New York led by 14 points with 3:26 left in Game 1 before losing in overtime, 138-135.
- In Game 2, the Pacers and Knicks were tied entering the fourth quarter (and Indiana wound up winning by five).
- On Sunday night, the Knicks won Game 3, 106-100, after trailing by as many as 20 points in the first half.
So the Knicks have blown a huge lead, overcome a huge deficit and lost a game that was close throughout. More importantly, they covered this number each time.
Road teams are 3-0 SU and ATS so far in this matchup. Another win at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is a pretty tough ask for New York, but I do expect the visiting squad to at least keep it close.
The Knicks have covered a +5.5 spread in five of six matchups vs. the Pacers this year.
NBA SGP legs
Hart 8+ rebounds (-162): I faded Hart as a scorer in Game 3, and it worked out. But I have no interest in fading him as a rebounder.
Hart has a ton of heart, for lack of a better phrase.
When there’s a loose ball up for grabs, the veteran wing plays a lot bigger than his 6-foot-4 stature.
Hart averages 2.9 contested rebounds per game, according to NBA.com, which is the second-most among all guards in the playoffs.
And he’s first among playoff guards in rebound chances per game (17.7), which counts the number of rebound opportunities in which the player is the closest to the ball at some point.
Hart has cashed this bet in five of six matchups vs. Indiana this season, averaging 9.8 RPG. He’s also 8-5 vs. this milestone in his past 13 games overall.
Haliburton 3+ threes (-177): Haliburton has done an excellent job creating space for himself beyond the arc, and he’s been very comfortable chucking high-arcing 3s against the Knicks.
According to NBA.com’s shot tracking data, 27 of Haliburton’s 30 attempted 3s in this series have come with at least four feet of separation. Any shot with 4-to-6 feet of separation is considered “open,” and beyond that is “wide open.”
Though he’s only shooting 30.0% from deep through three games, I’m heartened by the shot quality — and the volume.
Haliburton has established a nice track record of 3-point shooting success against the Knicks, and I expect more of the same on Tuesday night.
Since last year’s playoff matchup, Haliburton has averaged 3.4 triples on 9.2 attempts against New York (13 games).
Knicks vs. Pacers predictions made at 2:25 p.m. ET 05/26/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.