The Golden State Warriors are massive home favourites on Friday night against the lowly Sacramento Kings.
The pregame narrative: Golden State is laying 14.5 points at Chase Center against a Sacramento team sporting an awful 3-16 road record. The Kings have lost six straight games ahead of this contest, five of which came by double-digits.
Check out my Kings vs. Warriors SGP predictions for Jan. 9, featuring Steph Curry and Dennis Schroder.
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Kings vs. Warriors SGP
Parlay: Warriors -10.5 | Curry 5+ threes | Schroder 10+ points (+260)
Warriors -10.5 (-190): This is a big-time mismatch. Golden State isn’t among the league’s elite, but it is still a great team at home:
- 12-5 record
- +5.5 net rating (10th)
- 111.6 defensive rating (8th)
And Sacramento doesn’t just lose on the road, it loses big.
- 7-12 ATS
- -12.7 average point differential
- -12.0 net rating (28th)
The Kings are missing arguably their best player (more on that later), and have lost by double-digits in five straight road games.
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This should be an intra-state beatdown.
NBA SGP legs
Curry 5+ threes (-132): Curry is in Year 17, and bettors still have to pay juice on him to hit five-plus 3s. That’s a testament to his longevity, and tonight, I think it’s well worth the squeeze.
-> Don’t miss out — bet on Curry against the Kings now!
- Curry is averaging the most makes (4.7) and attempts (12.1) from deep this year, netting out at a tidy 39.1% clip.
- He’s cleared this mark in three of his last five games, landing on four 3s in one of the outliers.
Sacramento ranks a middling 14th in 3-point defence, but is missing its best perimeter defender, Keegan Murray, tonight.
Murray, who hurt his ankle on Sunday, is averaging 1.6 blocks and 1.2 steals per game and is routinely tasked with stopping the opposition’s top scorer.
Steph should have free rein to let it fly tonight.
Schroder 10+ points (-150): The Kings will need a tertiary scorer besides DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine with Murray out.
Russell Westbrook is in a big shooting slump right now, and I think Schroder can fill that role.
He has reached this milestone in 12 of 16 games without Murray, including each of his last six. When the Kings played the Warriors earlier this year sans Murray, Schroder scored 18 points and took 17 shots.
This is also a solid matchup for the German.
Schroder takes 46% of his shots from the mid-range, which ranks in the 80th percentile among all guards, per Cleaning the Glass.
Golden State ranks 22nd in mid-range defence.
Kings vs. Warriors SGP predictions made at 10:15 a.m. on Jan. 9, 2026.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.