The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins seek their first win of the season on Monday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: These two AFC East rivals are winless through three weeks. The loser will be on thin ice after this, while the winner will salvage some hope that it can turn things around. Which team can score a victory in primetime?
Check out my Jets vs. Dolphins same-game parlay predictions for Week 4 below, featuring Jaylen Waddle and Braelon Allen.
Jets vs. Dolphins SGP predictions
SGP: Waddle over 48.5 receiving yards | Allen over 17.5 rushing yards | Over 37.5 points (+325)
Waddle over 48.5 receiving yards (-117): This shapes up as a plus matchup for Waddle.
New York’s corner depth is thin. With Sauce Gardner likely shadowing Tyreek Hill in this contest, Waddle should find room to operate against the rest of the Jets’ corners.
Brandon Stephens is the starter opposite Gardner. He doesn’t tend to shadow receivers, but he has struggled against the receivers he has seen most frequently.
- Week 1 vs. Calvin Austin: Four receptions, 57 yards, 63.3% shadow rate
- Week 2 vs. Keon Coleman: Three receptions, 34 yards, 25.0% shadow rate
- Week 3 vs. Sterling Shepard: Four receptions, 34 yards, 32.1% shadow rate
With Waddle likely being the best receiver Stephens has faced to this point, there’s an opportunity for him to have a massive day.
Waddle has historically done very well in this matchup. He has topped this mark in three of his last four games against New York, averaging just short of 100 yards per game (99.8).
Monday Night Football SGP picks
Allen over 16.5 rushing yards (-117): The game script seems to dictate Allen’s usage for the Jets.
In Weeks 1 and 3, Allen was given six carries. Those were close, tightly contested games decided by just two points each.
Allen received just two carries in Week 2’s blowout loss to the Buffalo Bills, an outing where the Jets were forced to abandon the run early.
The Dolphins are just 2.5-point favourites in Week 4, meaning we’re likely headed for a close game. That bodes well for Allen.
So does Miami’s porous run defence. Miami is tied for ceding the 10th-most yards per rush attempt (4.5) and the fifth-most rushing yards per game (145.0).
Allen has an impressive 41 rushing yards on just eight carries across his last two games.
Over 37.5 points (-275): I’ve teased the total down, and I’m happily taking the over.
Neither defence has shown that it’s any good this year. Miami is tied for allowing the third-most yards per play (6.1), while New York is tied for surrendering the 13th most (5.4).
Conversely, both offences have proven to be competent. The Dolphins have scored 20-plus points in each of their last two outings. New York, meanwhile, is actually a respectable 16th in points per game (23.0 ).
The over on this total has hit in all three games for each team.
Jets vs. Dolphins predictions made at 12:49 p.m. on 09/28/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.