For the third time in three weeks, the Toronto Raptors face the Charlotte Hornets.
The latest: Toronto, which has a two-point regulation win and a seven-point OT loss against Charlotte, is a 7.5-point home favourite on Friday night. The Hornets are 1-10 SU on the road, while the Raptors are 8-3 at home (with a buzzer-beater loss vs. the Lakers last night).
Check out these Hornets vs. Raptors prop bets for the game on Dec. 5, featuring LaMelo Ball and Immanuel Quickley.
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Hornets vs. Raptors prop bets
Best bet: Ball under 2.5 threes (-104)
Ball has been among the very worst 3-point shooters this season and is well worth fading against a stout defensive team.
- So far this year, Ball is shooting 29.3% from deep. Among 91 players averaging at least 5.0 attempted over 10-plus games, that is the sixth-worst 3PT%.
- This under is 9-2 in his past 11 games (9-6 overall).
At the start of the season, Ball’s 3-point shot volume was far too high for me to want this under. He attempted 43 threes in his first four games (10.8/game) and hit this over in four straight.
The volume has remained high, but it did come down enough that his inefficiency is now making this a tough line to clear.
From Oct. 30 onward, Ball has averaged 2.0 makes on 8.2 attempts (24.4%).
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The Raptors defend well in general, ranking in the NBA’s top eight in defensive rating and points allowed. And they’re particularly tough on perimeter shooting.
Toronto is allowing the third-lowest 3PT% in the league (32.6%). If Ball keeps his 3-point attempt total to single digits, I really like this play.
Key stat: In two games vs. Toronto this season, Ball has cashed this under both times while going 2-for-13 from deep.
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Additional NBA prop predictions
Quickley over 2.5 threes (-106): Though he’s not quite the volume shooter that Ball is, Quickley has far better efficiency — and a better matchup — to excel from long range tonight.
- Toronto’s point guard is 6-for-16 (37.5%) from 3-point range against Charlotte this season, going 2-0 vs. this prop.
- The Hornets allow the highest opponent 3PT% in the league (39.7).
- Point guards are averaging 3.63 threes per game vs. Charlotte (fifth-most in the NBA).
-> Bet on Quickley, fade Ball tonight!
Quickley is 11-4 vs. this prop in his past 15 games, shooting a blistering 43.5% from the outside in that span.
His 6.6 attempted 3s per game leads the Raptors, and he should be the primary outside shooter taking advantage of Friday’s matchup.
Hornets vs. Raptors prop picks made at 9:35 a.m. ET on Dec. 5, 2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.