The Miami Heat visit an injury-riddled Dallas Mavericks side on Thursday.
The pregame narrative: Even though the Mavs are dealing with a lot of bad injury luck, I’m confident they can keep it close with the Heat. Despite that, I’m backing two Miami players — Bam Adebayo and Kel’el Ware — in the prop markets to round out this SGP.
Check out my Heat vs. Mavericks same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 13.
Heat vs. Mavericks predictions
Parlay: Mavericks +6.5 | Adebayo 17+ points | Ware 9+ rebounds (+360)
Mavericks +6.5 (-240): Dallas will miss Anthony Davis and other key pieces but it gets Miami at a very tough spot in its schedule.
The Heat played a road game against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday and lost 115-101 but the contest was close enough that Miami’s starters played a normal workload.
This will mark the team’s sixth game on the road in February so fatigue is sure to be a factor.
Dallas played on Wednesday, as well, and beat the new-look Golden State Warriors behind 42 points from Kyrie Irving.
The Mavericks didn’t have to travel last night and play their fourth straight at home. Keeping pace with the Heat shouldn’t be too tall a task.
SGP legs
Adebayo 17+ points (-159): Following the Jimmy Butler saga in Miami, Adebayo’s been torching NBA defences.
- He’s averaging 23.1 points in eight games since Jan. 27.
- He’s shooting 54.5% from the field and playing 36.9 minutes per night.
- He cashed this wager in all eight games.
In the Heat’s most recent road back-to-back (Feb. 5), Adebayo played 33 minutes against the Philadelphia 76ers and scored 18 points.
I’m not worried about his minutes and the Mavericks are missing several big men which should allow Adebayo to feast around the basket.
Ware 9+ rebounds (-134): Can anyone reading this play centre for the Mavericks tonight?
Dallas is missing five different big men/rebounding threats:
- Anthony Davis
- Dwight Powell
- Daniel Gafford
- Dereck Lively II
- P.J. Washington
On Wednesday, the Mavericks started Kessler Edwards at centre, a 6-foot-8 forward who averages 10.1 minutes per night.
He was asked to play 32 minutes and was serviceable, grabbing six rebounds and recording three steals and two blocks but he’s not an NBA starting centre.
Ware has been impressive in his rookie season for the Heat and has been slated as the starter for the last 11 games.
In those contests, he hauled down nine-plus rebounds seven times.
The Mavericks don’t have a quality centre who could take advantage and I believe Ware will be dominant in this matchup.
Picks made at 10:15 a.m. ET 02/13/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.