The Miami Heat conclude a SoCal back-to-back on Monday night with a matchup against the Los Angeles Clippers
The pregame narrative: Miami lost by 10 last night against the Lakers and will now face a Clippers squad that has been resting at home for multiple nights. Los Angeles is 35-12 at home since the start of last season and is an 8-point favourite tonight.
Check out my Heat vs. Clippers SGP predictions for Nov. 3, featuring James Harden and Davion Mitchell.
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Heat vs. Clippers predictions
Parlay: Harden over 2.5 threes | Mitchell 6+ assists | Clippers -5.5 (+325)
Harden over 2.5 threes (-122): Harden is far and away the No. 1 option for the Clippers from 3-point range. Even if he’s not the most efficient sharpshooter they have, I feel good about his game-to-game shot volume.
- Harden averaged 8.5 attempted 3s last season, which was his highest mark since his three-year run as the NBA scoring champ (2017-20). This year, he’s at 8.2 attempts/game through five games.
- Harden has 7+ attempted 3s in four of five games, and he’s coming off a 4-for-13 showing from deep.
- Kawhi Leonard is the only other Clipper attempting more than 4.0 threes per game right now.
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Though he’s only 2-3 vs. this prop so far, Harden is worth a look based on how often he’s letting it fly from deep. After all, you have to shoot to score.
In four matchups vs. the Heat over the past two seasons, Harden is 4-0 vs. this prop while posting a 53.1 3PT% on 8.0 attempts/game.
NBA SGP legs
Mitchell 6+ assists (-210): The Toronto Raptors might regret moving on from Mitchell for a 2026 second-round pick and some cash. The fifth-year guard plays relentless defence and knows how to dish the rock.
Mitchell, who was shipped to Miami at last year’s deadline, has become the Heat’s primary passer. He’s averaging 7.5 APG, along with 13.7 potential assists.
Those 13.7 potential APG, which are passes that lead directly to a shot, rank 10th among all NBA passers.
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If you’re getting nearly 14 chances at assists on a given night, there’s a good chance six of them (or more) will convert.
Mitchell is 5-1 vs. this milestone. And he’s facing a Clippers squad that allows the seventh-most APG.
Clippers -5.5 (-177): L.A. played at home on Halloween night and has since been resting for a pair of days.
Miami, meanwhile, lost by 10 on the road against the Lakers just last night.
The Clippers are 3-0 at home so far this season, covering this number twice. And they’re building a reputation as one of the best home teams in the league.
Since debuting at Intuit Dome last season, the Clips are 30-16-1 ATS on home court (second-best home ATS record in the NBA, per Team Rankings).
Heat vs. Clippers predictions made at 1:30 p.m. ET 11/03/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.