CONCACAF Gold Cup semifinal predictions: Back USA and Mexico to win comfortably

Gold Cup predictions

Four nations remain in the CONCACAF Gold Cup, with a pair of semifinal matchups on Wednesday.

The latest: The USA and Mexico are on a collision course for the final, as each country is a massive favourite to win their respective game. The Americans first play Guatemala before Mexico takes on Honduras.

Check out the best CONCACAF Gold Cup predictions for Wednesday’s semifinal matches.

CONCACAF Gold Cup predictions

Best bet: Mexico halftime/fulltime (-120)

Mexico is the class of this tournament, and has been for a long time.

The Tricolour have a record nine Gold Cup titles and are two matches away from defending their 2023 championship. So far, so good.

Javier Aguirre’s squad has conceded a tournament-low two goals, and both came in its opening match against the Dominican Republic.

Three clean sheets later, and I anticipate this Mexican squad winning it all.

Aguirre has a 10-3-3 record since Aguirre took over in July 2024, and has only lost one game on home or neutral ground in that span.

Honduras got smashed 6-0 by Canada to open up this tournament and also lost 5-0 to Mexico when these teams played last November.

The Trioclour are -177 to record a clean sheet, which I expect to happen. A first-half goal should probably seal the deal here.

Key stat: Mexico has allowed zero shots on target over the last two games

Full Gold Cup betting markets

USA vs. Guatemala best bet

USA halftime/fulltime (-122): Hats off to Guatemala, which just toppled Canada as a sizeable underdog on Sunday.

Los Chapines capitalized on a red card to Jacob Shaffelburg and dominated possession in the second half, scoring a tying goal before winning on penalties.

But the Americans likely won’t go down to 10 men and should handle inferior competition.

Mauricio Pochettino’s side has produced offensively even without Timothy Weah, Christian Pulisic and Weston McKennie, who are absent from this tournament.

It’s scored 10 goals through four games and held 61% possession against Costa Rica in the quarterfinal.

Guatemala, meanwhile, had been held to one or fewer goals in four of its last five games.

FIFA Club World Cup predictions made at 2:08 p.m. on 06/30/2025.

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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.