The Pittsburgh Steelers are back in prime time at home to battle the New York Giants.
The pregame narrative: Russell Wilson’s return was triumphant as Pittsburgh beat the New York Jets last week. In his second start, I’m taking the under on his rushing yards prop. Elsewhere, I like Jaylen Warren to top his receiving yards prop and Daniel Jones to usurp his rushing yards prop.
Check out my Giants vs. Steelers prop picks for Monday Night Football on Oct. 28.
Giants vs. Steelers prop picks
Go to full Monday Night Football betting markets
Best Bet: Wilson under 15.5 rushing yards (-120)
Other than a slow start, Wilson’s first game with Pittsburgh couldn’t have gone much better.
The veteran quarterback completed 16-of-29 passes for 269 yards and two touchdowns. He also added a rushing touchdown, but he didn’t offer very much on the ground besides that.
Wilson finished the game with three carries for three yards. Limited rushing outputs from Mr. Unlimited, however, shouldn’t come as a shock.
He is returning from a calf injury that lingered throughout the offseason and into the regular season. Taking off with the football is likely a last resort for the Steelers QB.
Justin Fields is also still on the roster, serving as an option for Pittsburgh if the team wants to deploy a designed QB run.
Wilson visibly appears slower than he was in his prime. Bettors shouldn’t expect to see a vintage rushing performance, even if the Giants are ceding the fourth-most rushing yards per game to QBs (31.7).
Key stat: Wilson has finished with fewer than 15 rushing yards in three of his last four starts dating back to last season.
Quick picks
Warren over 12.5 receiving yards (-112): Warren should be able to beat this number in a plus matchup.
The third-year pro is the team’s best receiver out of the backfield. He has topped this total in three of five games this year, including a 15-yard effort in Wilson’s debut last week.
The matchup is mouthwatering as New York is struggling to contain opposing backs in the passing game. The Giants are ceding the eighth-most receiving yards per game to RBs (39.9).
Jones over 26.5 rushing yards (-112): New York’s offensive line is banged up entering this game, and that’s tough news for Jones against a fierce Pittsburgh pass rush.
Andrew Thomas is out for the year and Jermaine Eluemunor enters this contest at less than full health. That’s tough news ahead of a date against T.J. Watt and company.
I expect Jones to run from pressure all night and use his legs to generate offence. New York’s quarterback has topped this total in two of his last three games and will likely do so again for self-preservation.
Picks made at 9:47 a.m. ET 10/27/2024.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.