Week 13 of the NFL season is headlined by the New York Giants and New England Patriots on Monday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: These squads have opposite records, with the Patriots sitting atop the NFL at 10-2 while the Giants are 2-10. New York has no hope of a playoff appearance, but there’s still something to be excited about Monday with a quarterback battle between budding stars Jaxson Dart and Drake Maye.
Check out my Giants vs. Patriots predictions in this +375 same-game parlay, featuring Wan’Dale Robinson and TreVeyon Henderson.
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Giants vs. Patriots predictions
SGP: Patriots ML | Robinson over 5.5 receptions | Henderson anytime TD (+375)
Patriots moneyline (-375): There’s no reason to fade the Patriots here.
- They are on a nine-game winning streak and have only lost once since Week 1.
- During its streak, New England has an average winning margin of 11.1 points.
- The offence has scored 23+ points in all those games.
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That consistency makes the Patriots difficult to beat as they appear immune to off-nights.
On the other hand, the Giants’ defence is very vulnerable. They allow the third-most yards (400.5/game) and points (27.8/game) in the NFL.
Drake Maye is having an MVP-calibre sophomore season and is leading the Patriots to a top-10 ranking in every stat on offence.
The Giants could cover the 7-point spread, but I can’t see the offence keeping pace with the Patriots. I expect New England to extend its heater.
Monday Night Football SGP picks
Robinson over 5.5 receptions (+106): With Malik Nabers sidelined for the season, Robinson took over the role of WR1 in New York.
And he’s been productive, demanding a lot of attention from whoever is starting at QB.
- 27.4% target share (12th in NFL)
- 8.5 targets per game
Robinson was seen more as a gadget player early in his career. But he’s been given an expanded route tree and now looks like a legit 1,000-yard guy.
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In the eight games since Nabers went down, Robinson is averaging 6.0 receptions on 9.4 targets per game.
If the Giants are playing from behind, they’ll likely abandon the run game and deploy a more pass-heavy attack.
It’s also worth noting that the Patriots have a below-average pass defence, allowing 213.5 yards per game.
Henderson anytime TD (+102): Injuries in New England’s running back room have opened up an opportunity for Henderson to be the lead runner, and he’s been effective.
He has carried the ball 10+ times each of the last five weeks. During that time, he recorded 5.4 yards per carry and five touchdowns.
Henderson is a beast in the red zone. Take a look at his stats inside the 20-yard line compared to Rhamondre Stevenson.
- Henderson: 21 carries, 61 yards, three TDs
- Stevenson: 20 carries, 30 yards, three TDs
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Henderson’s 2.9 yards per carry in the red zone would rank seventh in the NFL if he had enough touches to qualify.
Stevenson is active this week, but I expect Henderson to remain the true RB1 in this offence as the season winds down.
The rookie has been a lot more efficient with his touches, and he’s also a strong receiver out of the backfield.
The Giants have the worst EPA per rush in the NFL (0.193), per rbsdm.com
Giants vs. Patriots predictions made at 2:36 p.m. ET on Nov. 30, 2025.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.