Tottenham’s newest transfer headlines this weekend’s EPL prop bets.
The pregame narrative: Xavi Simons wasted no time getting going for his new club as he recorded an assist in his Premier League debut. He should be able to keep his momentum going in his second start against Brighton on Saturday.
Check out my favourite EPL prop picks for Week 5 of the Premier League season, featuring Jean-Philippe Mateta.
EPL prop picks
Best bet: Simons to record an assist (+190)
The 22-year-old was expected to step into a midfield role with Tottenham, but Thomas Frank had other plans. He decided to utilize Simons as a winger in his first two starts across the EPL and UCL.
Playing out wide should certainly increase his offensive output, which is what I’m looking for with this market.
He’s gradually received more playing time from one start to the next and should be in line for 80-plus minutes on Saturday.
In those two starts, he recorded three shots. None of which were on target, but the volume is solid. He’s still 1-1 on this wager for Tottenham, though, thanks to grabbing an assist in his debut off a corner kick.
Brighton is a bottom-half defensive team, allowing the ninth-most xG through four matches (5.6).
The Hotspur are tied for fourth in the EPL with eight goals. The side should be able to add to that total this weekend.
Even when he was deployed as a midfielder for RB Salzburg in the Bundesliga, he was one of the more attacking-minded midfielders in world soccer.
Key stat: According to fbref.com, Simons ranks in the 99th percentile among midfielders for non-penalty goals per 90 (0.37) and in the 95th percentile for assists per 90 (0.26).
EPL Matchday 5 predictions
Mateta to score (+140): No team has conceded more goals than West Ham’s 11. That provides Mateta with a nice opportunity to score on Saturday.
- The French forward has played all but nine minutes for Crystal Palace in the EPL.
- He has three goals in seven matches across all competitions, but only one so far in the Premier League.
- Mateta finished tied for 10th in the EPL for goals last year with 14, so an uptick should be expected.
On top of all that, there’s seriously no better matchup for a striker.
Not only has West Ham allowed the most goals, but the club also concedes the most shots on target per match (5.0).
EPL prop picks made at 3:15 p.m. on 09/19/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.