Dolphins vs. Steelers MNF Week 15 SGP predictions: Bet on Jaylen Waddle as part of +390 play

Dolphins vs. Steelers predictions

The Miami Dolphins look for a fourth straight win when they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Miami has played inspired football but the Steelers are desperate for a win to stay clear of the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North. It will be a cold night in Pittsburgh with the temperature expected to be below-freezing at kick-off.

Check out my Dolphins vs. Steelers predictions in this +390 same-game parlay, featuring Jaylen Waddle and Jaylen Warren.

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Dolphins vs. Steelers predictions

SGP: Dolphins +7.5 | Waddle 60+ receiving yards | Warren 50+ rushing yards (+390)

Dolphins +7.5 (-265): The most impressive thing during the Dolphins win streak has been their defence.

  • During their four-game heater, they’ve held each opponent to 17 points or fewer, allowing 13.3 points per game.
  • That would rank as the No. 1 scroring defence in the NFL over the entire season.

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The offence will always have solid weekly potential with De’Von Achane in the backfield. He leads the leaugue in yards per carry (5.8) and has 520 rushing yards in just the past four weeks.

There’s always been a narrative about Miami being a terrible team in the cold and it and there’s some truth to it.

But a good way to erase that is to have a consistent run game and strong defence.

On the other side, the Steelers are 3-3 in their last six games and have only covered this spread twice all season.

This game should stay close with how Miami has played down the stretch.

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Monday Night Football SGP picks

Waddle 60+ receiving yards (-120): Waddle has had no problem filling the WR1 role in this offence with Tyreek Hill sidelined for the season.

  • He has 812 receiving yards, which is more than 500 clear of any other wide receiver on the Dolphins. Achane is the closest offensive player with 383 receiving yards.
  • Waddle had at least 50 receiving yards in five of the past six weeks.

So if anyone can take advantage of the Steelers’ poor pass defence, it’s Waddle.

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Pittsburgh allows the sixth-most passing yards per game (244.0).

Warren 50+ receiving yards (-134): When it comes to the Dolphins, they struggle with containing the run rather than the pass.

They give up the eighth-most rushing yards per game (131.9).

And that brings me to Warren, who’s claimed the role as lead back for Pittsburgh. With that comes consistent work. He has rushed the ball 10+ times in 11 of his 12 games played.

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He actually went under that mark last week, gaining only 13 yards on eight attempts but this is a perfect bounce-back spot.

Overall he averages 54.3 rushing yards per game and should be in for an above-average performance against a struggling run defence.

Dolphins vs. Steelers predictions made at 2:36 p.m. ET on Dec. 14, 2025.

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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.