Baseball fans are treated to an elite pitcher’s duel in Game 2 of the NLCS.
The pregame narrative: Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, who are slightly favoured to take a commanding 2-0 series lead. Freddy Peralta has dominated L.A.’s active lineup and will attempt to defend home turf for the Milwaukee Brewers.
Check out my Dodgers vs. Brewers prop picks for NLDS Game 2, featuring fades on Andy Pages and Jackson Chourio.
Dodgers vs. Brewers picks
Best bet: Pages under 0.5 hits (+117)
I think there’s a ton of value fading Pages tonight, given his current form and history against Peralta.
The Dodgers’ outfielder is hitless in his last four games and is batting just 0.037 (1-for-27) in the playoffs.
In that span, he’s struck out six times and has a 24% hard-hit rate. For context, Jacob Wilson ranked 246th out of 251 qualified batters with a 24.7% hard hit rate this season.
Pages is an elite defender, ranking in the 96th percentile for fielding run value, so I’m confident he’ll be in the starting lineup tonight.
That said, Dave Roberts may pull him from the game if L.A. needs offence as he did against the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of the NLDS.
Peralta has been lights out this season, posting a 2.70 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, and has dominated Pages in a small sample size.
Key stat: Pages is 0-for-7 against Peralta with a 0.076 xBA in those at-bats.
MLB best bets
Chourio under 0.5 hits (+155): Chourio has cooled off after a nuclear start to the postseason, going 0-for-6 with three Ks in his last two games.
The 21-year-old centre fielder has pronounced lefty/righty splits and should struggle with Yamamoto’s pitch mix.
- Vs. LHP: .343/.389/.584
- Vs. RHP: .245/.280/.422
Yamamoto ranks in the 89th percentile or better in xERA, xBA and K rate.
The Japanese phenom leans heavily on a four-seam/splitter combo against right-hitting batters, throwing those two pitches roughly 54% of the time.
Chourio is batting .237 against those offerings from righties this season (.238 xBA).
Dodgers vs. Brewers picks made at 9:40 a.m. on 10/14/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.