The Commissioner’s Trophy is at Rogers Centre on Friday night as the Toronto Blue Jays look to capture their third World Series title.
The pregame narrative: Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been lights out for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and threw a complete game earlier this series. Toronto counters with its own ace, Kevin Gausman, who has a 2.55 ERA this postseason. L.A. is slightly favoured to force Game 7 and keep its back-to-back bid alive.
Check out my World Series prop picks for Game 6 on Oct. 31, featuring Alejandro Kirk and Addison Barger.
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World Series prop picks: Game 6
Best bet: Kirk 1+ RBI (+220)
All signs are pointing toward George Springer returning for the Jays tonight.
That means the top of Toronto’s lineup should look like this, per RotoWire (postseason OBP in parentheses):
- George Springer (.323)
- Nathan Lukes (.367)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.506)
- Bo Bichette (.389)
Kirk is slated to hit fifth, which is a prime spot for run production.
Toronto’s offence is leading the playoffs in runs per game (6.3), batting average (.281), OBP (.350), wRC+ (129) and K rate (16.3%).
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Kirk is second to only Vladdy this postseason with 13 RBI, and is leading the World Series with six runs driven in.
In a vacuum, backing him at these odds seems like a no-brainer. But there’s the Yamamoto problem.
The Japanese ace is coming off back-to-back complete games and owns a 1.63 ERA this postseason.
Can he do it again? I’m doubtful.
Toronto has destroyed elite pitching all postseason, and is facing Yamamoto for the second time in a week. He’s not invincible, and the Jays had some bad batted-ball luck against him in Game 2:
- .133 BA
- .256 xBA
- 43% hard-hit rate
I expect the Jays to win the World Series tonight and for Kirk to play a big factor.
Key stat: Kirk has had 20 at-bats with runners in scoring position this postseason. That’s 31.7% of his total postseason ABs.
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays prop prediction
Barger 1+ hit (-120): I love this price, and I love how Barger is playing.
- Barger has a hit in nine of his last 10 games.
- In that span, he has five multi-hit games and is batting .412.
The only outlying performance was against Yamamoto in Game 2, where he went 0-for-3. But Barger didn’t have a single whiff in those at-bats and has hit RHP well all season.
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There isn’t much more to say here.
World Series prop picks made at 10:15 a.m. ET on 10/31/2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.