Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Game 6 World Series SGP predictions: Fade Ohtani, bet on Guerrero to stay hot at home

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Game 6 parlay

It’s not a trick; the Toronto Blue Jays can become World Series champions at home on Halloween night.

The pregame narrative: Holding a 3-2 series lead, Toronto hosts Yoshinobu Yamamoto and the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight. Yamamoto tossed a four-hit complete game at Rogers Centre back in Game 2, and his Dodgers are favoured to even the series.

Check out my Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Game 6 parlay predictions, featuring Yamamoto, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Shohei Ohtani.

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Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Game 6 parlay

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Ohtani under 1.5 bases | Guerrero 1+ hits | Yamamoto over 5.5 Ks (+310)

Ohtani under 1.5 total bases (-117): Ohtani can go off at any time, and he’s arguably the most dangerous hitter in the sport.

But interspersed among a few epic games this postseason, the NL MVP-in-waiting has had plenty of quiet showings.

  • 2+ hits in three games
  • 2+ strikeouts in eight games
  • Hitless in six games
  • Under 1.5 bases in 10 of 15

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All three of his multi-hit games were also multi-homer games, which speaks to the point about how dangerous he is.

But Toronto starter Kevin Gausman has navigated this matchup well, and I think he can do so again.

Against Gausman, Ohtani is just 2-for-15 with six strikeouts. He went 0-for-3 off Gausman in Game 2 and singled off a reliever in his final at-bat.

The Jays have also walked Ohtani seven times already through five games. They’re comfortable pitching around him, which works in the favour of this prediction, too.

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MLB SGP picks

Guerrero 1+ hits (-225): With the Blue Jays on the cusp of a championship, Guerrero is the odds-on favourite to win World Series MVP.

His name carries plenty of cachet, but it’s more than that. Vladdy has carried his elite postseason production into the biggest series of his life.

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  • In the World Series, Guerrero is 8-for-22 (.364) with an 1.136 OPS.
  • In the postseason overall, Guerrero is 27-for-65 (.415) with a 1.337 OPS.
  • He has 1+ hits in 14 of 16 games and is currently on a 10-game hit streak.

Yamamoto was nasty against the Blue Jays last time out, but Guerrero did lace a single off him as part of a 1-for-4 night. Guerrero had two balls in play vs. Yamamoto with an exit velocity north of 100 mph.

With how locked in Guerrero has been all October, I’d back him to record a hit against anyone.

Yamamoto over 5.5 Ks (-220): It’s rare to see me riding with the over on a strikeouts prop against the Jays, but I like this teased-down number for Yamamoto tonight.

  • In Game 2, he struck out eight Blue Jays over 9.0 innings.
  • His outs line is set at 18.5 tonight, meaning he’s expected to work deep rather than quickly handing the game over to L.A.’s shaky bullpen.
  • Dating back to the regular season, Yamamoto has 6+ Ks in 14 of his past 15 starts. And he has a 10.1 K/9 in that span.

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Toronto had the lowest K rate in the majors during the regular season (17.8%), and it’s been even lower in the playoffs.

But assuming the Dodgers don’t want to sprint to a bullpen that has a 4.56 ERA and a .262 opponent BA this postseason, he should get enough of a workload to cash this over.

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays predictions as of 8:25 a.m. on 10/31/2025.

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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.