Canadian Gabriel Diallo’s run at the Australian Open begins in a match against 21-year-old Luca Nardi.
The pregame narrative: Diallo looks to build off his breakout campaign when he meets Nardi for the first time. I expect Diallo to cover his game spread in an exciting matchup between young talents.
Check out our Diallo vs. Nardi odds and best bet for their Australian Open match on Jan. 12.
Diallo vs. Nardi Australian Open odds
Go to full Diallo vs. Nardi betting markets.
| Betting markets | Betting odds |
| Diallo to win | -167 |
| Nardi to win | +135 |
| Diallo -2.5 games | -115 |
| Nardi +2.5 games | -110 |
| Over 39.5 games | -120 |
| Under 39.5 games | -107 |
Best bet: Diallo -2.5 (-115)
Diallo is among the fastest-rising talents in the ATP scene.
After unexpected deep runs in last year’s U.S. Open (a third-round finish) and Astana Open (runner-up), the Canadian catapulted into the Top-100 rankings.
From competing in the ATP Challenger Tour to defeating the dangerous Arthur Fils and going toe-to-toe against 19th-ranked Karen Khachanov (on two occasions) is an amazing feat.
Nardi, also coming off a solid campaign, has made his mark in the Challenger Tour.
In 2024, the young Italian captured two Challenger titles, playing on clay and indoor hardcourt surfaces.
But he hasn’t enjoyed the same success on outdoor hardcourts, a playing surface his Canadian opponent has been utterly dominant on.
In 2024, Diallo excelled to a 30-12 record on the hardcourt, whereas Nardi posted a lacklustre 14-14 mark on the surface.
Another key advantage for Diallo in this matchup is his powerful serve, boosted by his 6-foot-8 stature.
- The Canadian won 80% of service games last season.
- He recorded a career-high 125 aces.
- Nardi won just 17% of his return games.
Although both are expected to debut in the Australian Open main draw, Diallo has already tasted success in major tournaments.
Nardi has never advanced past the opening round of a grand slam tournament.
Key stat: Nardi recorded 35 double faults to 21 aces on outdoor hardcourts last season.
Picks made at 12:54 p.m. ET on 01/10/2025.
