There’s another winner-take-all Game 5 on Saturday, but this time it’s for the final spot in the NLCS.
The pregame narrative: The Milwaukee Brewers won the first two games before handing them back to the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. The series heads back to Milwaukee with the winner advancing to face the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Check out my Cubs vs. Brewers predictions for Oct. 11, featuring prop bets on Seiya Suzuki, Jackson Chourio and Christian Yelich.
Cubs vs. Brewers predictions
Parlay: Brewers moneyline | Suzuki over 0.5 hits | Chourio over 0.5 hits | Yelich over 0.5 hits (+380)
Brewers moneyline (-141): The home team has won every game in this series, and I’ll stick with that trend.
- The Brewers tied the Los Angeles Dodgers for the third-most home wins during the regular season (52).
- Milwaukee crushed the Cubs at home in Games 1 and 2, scoring 7+ runs in both games and holding a +10 run differential.
At the time of writing, it is unclear who the starting pitchers will be for both teams, but it has been strongly suggested that the Brewers and Cubs will use whoever is available to get 27 outs.
And if that’s the case, I have to side with Milwaukee’s pitching. The Brewers had the second-best team ERA in MLB (3.59).
The Cubs have too many things working against them. They were a subpar road team (42-39) that struggled to beat teams with a better than .500 record (38-46 in those games).
MLB SGP legs
Suzuki over 0.5 hits (-157): Suzuki has been a consistent force in the Cubs’ offence.
- He is 6-1 against this wager in the postseason.
- The slugger had a 95th percentile barrel rate (16.6%) and a 93rd percentile chase rate (20.5%) during the regular season, per Baseball Savant.
- Suzuki also had much better splits on the road. He hit .267 away from home and .224 at home this season.
The goal here was to find someone on the Cubs who can trot into American Family Field and feel comfortable in the batter’s box.
And I believe Suzuki is that guy. He has a good eye for the strike zone and should put the ball in play on multiple occasions.
Chourio over 0.5 hit (-275) + Yelich over 0.5 hit (-265): The last part of my SGP focuses on the No. 1 and 2 hitters on the Brewers.
The most obvious advantage of hitting early in the order is receiving the most at-bats in the lineup, which results in more chances to cash this wager.
And that’s exactly what these two have been doing.
- Chourio: .467 postseason average (seven hits in 15 plate appearances) with at least a hit in all four games.
- Yelich: .333 postseason average (five hits in 15 at-bats) with three walks. 3-1 on this wager.
When the Cubs shut down the Brewers in Game 4, 6-0, Chourio and Yelich accounted for three of the seven base runners Milwaukee produced over the nine innings.
Yelich had two walks, which doesn’t help this wager but still demonstrates how well he is seeing the ball right now.
If the Brewers win like I predict them to, I can’t see it happening without contributions from two of their top hitters.
Cubs vs. Brewers predictions as of 2:45 p.m. on 10/09/2025.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.