The Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles meet with a spot in the Super Bowl on the line.
The pregame narrative: Washington’s offence has been lethal during the playoffs but it hasn’t battled a defence quite like Philly’s. I’m expecting very little from the Commanders, but like Jalen Hurts and Dallas Goedert to find pay dirt for the Eagles.
Check out my favourite Commanders vs. Eagles TD picks for this weekend’s NFC championship game.
Commanders vs. Eagles TD picks
Best Bet: Hurts to score a touchdown (-138)
With Barkley’s odds priced where they are, Hurts is the next logical option for Eagles bettors.
Barkley has -250 odds to reach the end zone and is +108 to do it twice. There’s just no value there whatsoever.
Some extenuating circumstances are working against Hurts, but I can get behind this line.
The Eagles quarterback is battling through a knee injury that took him out for a portion of last week’s win over the Los Angeles Rams.
I’m not expecting that to dissuade the Eagles from deploying the “Tush Push,” however, as they attempted one with Hurts upon his return to last Sunday’s game.
It is the playoffs after all, and Hurts will likely do everything he can to get his team to the Super Bowl.
This is a fair line considering how frequently Hurts does reach the end zone. He had 14 rushing touchdowns in 15 outings this regular season and reached the end zone in last week’s game against the Rams.
Bet on him to find pay dirt, even with a bad knee.
Key stat: Hurts scored a rushing touchdown against Washington in the regular season.
Quick pick
Goedert to score a touchdown (+260): There is some hidden upside with Goedert at this price.
If Hurts’ knee is truly terrible, Philadelphia could elect to run the Tush Push with Goedert. The tight end did talk about the possibility of doing just that in the preseason.
Hurts’ knee will likely limit his ability to step into a pass and uncork a deep shot. With that in mind, Goedert could see an uptick in targets as someone who operates in the short-to-intermediate parts of the field.
Additionally, Goedert has proven to be a go-to option for Hurts in the playoffs.
Goedert has a touchdown in two of Philadelphia’s last three playoff games.
The Commanders have struggled to keep opposing tight ends out of the end zone. They tied for ceding the fifth-most touchdowns in the NFL.
Picks made at 2:54 p.m. ET on 01/25/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.