Let’s take a look at the evening slate for some college football Week 10 prop picks.
The latest: Haynes King has been a revelation in the run game for the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, but he’s still capable of racking up passing yards in the right matchup. Elsewhere, Isaiah Sategna looks to continue being a force for the Oklahoma Sooners.
Check out my favourite college football Week 10 prop picks, featuring a prediction on Nebraska Cornhuskers receiver Dane Key.
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College football Week 10 prop picks
Best bet: King over 220.5 passing yards (-118)
King has gone berserk in the run game this year, but I think this week’s matchup is better suited for some damage through the air.
No. 8 Georgia Tech is on the road against the NC State Wolfpack, who’ve really struggled to defend opposing QBs:
- 106th in EPA per dropback
- 132nd in pass yards/game
Against fellow NCAA Division I opponents, the Wolfpack have allowed 300.4 pass yards/game. Six of those seven opponents threw for 250+ yards.
-> Bet on Haynes King against NC State
King, in his sixth year of college ball, is averaging nearly 100 rush yards/game and leads the ACC with 12 rushing TDs. But the quarterback is still an effective passer when called upon.
He has a 7:1 TD-to-INT ratio this year, along with a 72.3% completion rate.
He’s only averaging 211.4 pass yards/game, but he really hasn’t needed to lean on his arm much.
The Wolfpack’s run defence has been solid overall, holding opponents to 4.1 yards/rush. Look for King to take advantage of their porous pass defence.
Key stat: King is coming off his best passing effort of the season last week, throwing for 304 yards and three TDs on 25-of-31 passing vs. Syracuse.
CFB prop bets
Sategna anytime TD (+100): It took a couple of games for Arkansas transfer Isaiah Sategna to really settle in with the Sooners, but he’s been the focal point of the pass offence for a while now.
Sategna leads No. 18 Oklahoma in receptions (43), yards (624) and touchdowns (five). Only one other Sooner has 30+ catches, and nobody else has more than 400 yards or two receiving TDs.
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From Week 3 onward, look at how much Oklahoma has turned to Sategna:
- 6 games
- 60+ yards in every game
- 6.2 receptions/game
- 94.0 yards/game
In four of his past five games, Sategna has seen 11+ targets and scored a touchdown. That kind of consistency is rare in college football.
Tonight, he’ll face a Tennessee Volunteers defence that has played in a ton of shootouts. The Vols rank No. 2 in scoring offence (45.6 PPG) and No. 114 in scoring defence (30.9 PPG).
Also, according to Game On Paper, Tennessee’s pass defence ranks 119th in EPA per play and 113th in success rate.
Key under 37.5 receiving yards (-120): Key caught the game-winning touchdown for Nebraska a few weeks ago, but that was a rare highlight among a sea of underwhelming performances.
The Kentucky transfer scored in his first three games as a Cornhusker, too, and then the bottom fell out.
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Check out his averages in the past five games:
- 4.0 targets
- 2.0 catches
- 20.2 yards
Key has been held without a catch in two of his past five, and he’s 1-4 vs. this yardage prop in that span. He’s fallen down the pecking order of Nebraska pass-catchers, ranking fifth on the team in receptions and third in yards.
Nebraska faces a USC Trojans defence that just held Michigan and Notre Dame to a combined 343 pass yards (6.6 yards/attempt) in the past two games.
College football prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. on 11/01/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.